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Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks February 2008
[Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett]

              GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - FEBRUARY 2008

          !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!!

*************************************************************************

SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E


                          Sources of Information
                          ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion
  Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional
  Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin.  The 1-minute average
  maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the
  Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
  located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.  The center position coordinates from
  JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the
  Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
  or more.


                             Systems Tracked
                             ---------------

   Very Intense Tropical Cyclone HONDO (MFR-10 / 16S)  04 - 25 Feb
   Intense Tropical Cyclone IVAN (MFR-11 / 18S)        07 - 22 Feb
   

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: HONDO                 Cyclone Number: 16S     Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 10

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

08 FEB 04 0600  12.3 S   80.3 E   999         25  Locally 30 kts nr cntr
08 FEB 04 1200  12.6 S   80.1 E   998   30    25  JTWC: 13.1S/79.9E
08 FEB 04 1800  13.0 S   80.5 E   998         25  Locally 30 kts nr cntr
08 FEB 05 0000  13.4 S   80.4 E   997   45    30
08 FEB 05 0600  13.4 S   80.9 E   990         40
08 FEB 05 1200  13.7 S   80.9 E   975   65    65
08 FEB 05 1800  13.9 S   81.1 E   975         65
08 FEB 06 0000  14.2 S   81.2 E   975   75    65
08 FEB 06 0600  14.1 S   81.3 E   965         70
08 FEB 06 1200  14.2 S   81.7 E   960   90    75
08 FEB 06 1800  14.4 S   82.0 E   934   120  100
08 FEB 07 0000  14.7 S   82.3 E   925        105
08 FEB 07 0600  14.7 S   82.5 E   925   120  105
08 FEB 07 1200  15.0 S   82.7 E   915        115
08 FEB 07 1800  15.0 S   82.9 E   906   125  120
08 FEB 08 0000  15.1 S   83.2 E   915        115
08 FEB 08 0600  15.0 S   83.6 E   925   120  105
08 FEB 08 1200  15.4 S   84.1 E   925        105
08 FEB 08 1800  15.6 S   84.4 E   925   115  105
08 FEB 09 0000  16.1 S   85.0 E   925        105
08 FEB 09 0600  16.6 S   85.3 E   925   120  105
08 FEB 09 1200  17.4 S   85.9 E   925        105
08 FEB 09 1800  18.3 S   86.3 E   935   110   95
08 FEB 10 0000  19.3 S   86.5 E   940         90
08 FEB 10 0600  20.3 S   86.7 E   945   100   85
08 FEB 10 1200  20.8 S   86.5 E   955         75
08 FEB 10 1800  21.4 S   86.7 E   965    70   70
08 FEB 11 0000  22.4 S   85.9 E   980         55
08 FEB 11 0600  23.1 S   86.0 E   985    45   50
08 FEB 11 1200  23.7 S   85.7 E   988         45  Locally 50 kts
08 FEB 11 1800  24.3 S   85.2 E   994    40   35
08 FEB 12 0000  24.6 S   85.1 E   994         35
08 FEB 12 0600  24.8 S   85.2 E   994    35   35
08 FEB 12 1200  24.3 S   84.8 E  1000         25  Locally 30 kts SW semi
08 FEB 12 1800  23.5 S   84.0 E               20  See Note
08 FEB 13 0000  22.9 S   83.6 E               20
08 FEB 13 0600  22.4 S   83.2 E               20
08 FEB 13 1200  22.0 S   83.0 E               15
08 FEB 13 1800  21.3 S   82.6 E               15
08 FEB 14 0000  21.2 S   82.3 E               15
08 FEB 14 0600  21.3 S   82.1 E               15
08 FEB 14 1200  21.8 S   81.4 E               15
08 FEB 14 1800  21.7 S   80.3 E               15
08 FEB 15 0000  21.6 S   79.3 E               15
08 FEB 15 0600  21.4 S   78.5 E               15
08 FEB 15 1200  20.8 S   78.2 E               15
08 FEB 15 1800  20.4 S   77.7 E               15
08 FEB 16 0000  19.9 S   77.2 E               15
08 FEB 16 0600  19.5 S   76.7 E               15
08 FEB 16 1200  19.3 S   75.8 E               15
08 FEB 16 1800  18.9 S   73.9 E               15
08 FEB 17 0000  18.5 S   73.0 E               15
08 FEB 17 0600  18.2 S   72.3 E               15
08 FEB 17 1200  17.8 S   71.5 E               15
08 FEB 17 1800  17.8 S   71.0 E               15
08 FEB 18 0000  17.8 S   70.4 E               15
08 FEB 18 0600  17.9 S   69.9 E               15
08 FEB 18 1200  18.1 S   69.2 E               15
08 FEB 18 1800  18.3 S   68.1 E               15
08 FEB 19 0000  18.4 S   67.5 E               15
08 FEB 19 0600  18.7 S   66.4 E               15
08 FEB 19 1200  19.0 S   64.7 E               15
08 FEB 19 1800  18.9 S   63.6 E               15
08 FEB 20 0000  18.6 S   62.6 E               15
08 FEB 20 0600  18.3 S   61.8 E               15
08 FEB 20 1200  18.2 S   61.1 E               15
08 FEB 20 1800  18.0 S   60.6 E               15
08 FEB 21 0000  18.1 S   59.8 E  1005         25  System regenerated
08 FEB 21 0600  18.3 S   59.2 E  1003         25  Locally 30 kts to SSE
08 FEB 21 1200  18.0 S   59.9 E  1002         25              "
08 FEB 21 1800  18.2 S   59.9 E   998         30
08 FEB 22 0000  18.4 S   59.7 E   998         30     
08 FEB 22 0600  18.6 S   59.6 E   998         30
08 FEB 22 1200  18.9 S   59.0 E   998         30
08 FEB 22 1800  19.0 S   58.9 E  1000         30
08 FEB 23 0000  19.3 S   58.1 E   999    35   30
08 FEB 23 0600  20.0 S   56.6 E   998         30
08 FEB 23 1200  20.5 S   55.8 E   999    45   30
08 FEB 23 1800  21.8 S   55.2 E   999         30
08 FEB 24 0000  22.7 S   54.5 E  1002    30   25  Locally 30 kts SE semi
08 FEB 24 0600  23.5 S   53.4 E  1002         25              "
08 FEB 24 1200  24.5 S   52.5 E  1002         25              "
08 FEB 24 1800  26.2 S   51.7 E  1005         20
08 FEB 25 0000  27.8 S   51.5 E  1006         20
08 FEB 25 0600  29.2 S   51.5 E  1007         20

Note: The coordinates from 12/1800 through 20/1800 UTC, inclusive, were
obtained from a table on Meteo France La Reunion's website, filling in
the inter-warning period of Hondo's life.  No MSW values were given--I
arbitrarily chose to use 15 kts during this period since the system was
very weak with little convection.  Also, the final MFR warning was issued
at 24/1200 UTC, and the final three data points were obtained from the
online table, which likely represents a sort of working "best track".

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: IVAN                  Cyclone Number: 18S     Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 11

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

08 FEB 07 0600  13.0 S   61.0 E   997   35    30
08 FEB 07 1200  13.9 S   61.3 E   990         40
08 FEB 07 1800  14.5 S   62.5 E   984   55    50
08 FEB 08 0000  15.3 S   62.8 E   984         50
08 FEB 08 0600  15.4 S   63.2 E   984   55    50
08 FEB 08 1200  16.1 S   63.3 E   980         55
08 FEB 08 1800  16.1 S   63.1 E   975   60    60
08 FEB 09 0000  15.9 S   63.0 E   975         60
08 FEB 09 0600  15.8 S   63.0 E   975   65    60
08 FEB 09 1200  15.7 S   63.1 E   980         55
08 FEB 09 1800  15.6 S   63.8 E   980   60    55
08 FEB 10 0000  15.4 S   64.0 E   984         50
08 FEB 10 0600  14.9 S   64.4 E   985   55    50
08 FEB 10 1200  14.9 S   64.6 E   980         50
08 FEB 10 1800  14.6 S   65.0 E   985   75    50
08 FEB 11 0000  14.4 S   65.0 E   978         55
08 FEB 11 0600  14.5 S   65.0 E   972   85    60
08 FEB 11 1200  14.3 S   65.0 E   970         65
08 FEB 11 1800  14.2 S   64.9 E   970   85    65
08 FEB 12 0000  14.1 S   64.6 E   970         65
08 FEB 12 0600  14.1 S   64.6 E   975   65    60
08 FEB 12 1200  14.0 S   64.2 E   985         50
08 FEB 12 1800  14.2 S   64.0 E   987   55    45
08 FEB 13 0000  14.2 S   62.9 E   987         45
08 FEB 13 0600  13.8 S   62.2 E   990   40    40
08 FEB 13 1200  13.7 S   61.4 E   990         40
08 FEB 13 1800  13.4 S   61.0 E   985   55    45
08 FEB 14 0000  13.3 S   60.3 E   985         45
08 FEB 14 0600  13.6 S   59.5 E   983   65    50
08 FEB 14 1200  13.8 S   58.5 E   983         50
08 FEB 14 1800  14.1 S   57.6 E   980   75    55
08 FEB 15 0000  14.8 S   56.4 E   975         60
08 FEB 15 0600  15.2 S   55.7 E   975   80    60
08 FEB 15 1200  15.6 S   54.7 E   970         65
08 FEB 15 1800  16.2 S   54.1 E   966   95    65
08 FEB 16 0000  16.4 S   53.3 E   960   95    70
08 FEB 16 0600  16.2 S   52.6 E   955  100    75
08 FEB 16 1200  16.5 S   51.9 E   941  115    90
08 FEB 16 1800  16.7 S   51.1 E   930  115   100
08 FEB 17 0000  17.0 S   50.5 E   930  110   100
08 FEB 17 0600  17.2 S   49.5 E   935  100    95
08 FEB 17 1200  17.2 S   48.8 E         80    40  Inland in Madagascar
08 FEB 17 1800  17.3 S   47.9 E         65    30  Locally 35 kts
08 FEB 18 0000  17.7 S   47.0 E         60    30         "
08 FEB 18 0600  18.4 S   46.0 E         40    25
08 FEB 18 1200  19.9 S   45.3 E         35    20  JTWC: 19.1S/46.3E
08 FEB 18 1800  19.4 S   45.7 E         30        Final JTWC warning
08 FEB 19 0000  20.9 S   44.1 E               15  Still over land
08 FEB 19 0600  21.6 S   43.5 E               15
08 FEB 19 1200  22.3 S   43.2 E               15  Over water
08 FEB 19 1800  22.5 S   43.1 E               15
08 FEB 20 0000  22.8 S   42.9 E               15
08 FEB 20 0600  23.0 S   42.8 E               15
08 FEB 20 1200  23.2 S   42.7 E               15
08 FEB 20 1800  23.4 S   42.4 E               15
08 FEB 21 0000  23.3 S   42.2 E   998         25  30 kts S periphery
08 FEB 21 0600  22.4 S   42.0 E               25           
08 FEB 22 1200  21.8 S   41.6 E   998         30

Note: MFR warnings after 17/0600 UTC did not contain an estimate of
central pressure.  The final two MFR bulletins at 18/0600 and 1200 UTC
did not contain any wind estimates.  The values given above are my
estimates based on the continued weakening of the system.  The data
points from 19/0000 through 20/1800 UTC were taken from a table archived
on MFR's website.  Two additional bulletins were issued at 21/0000 and
22/1200 UTC.

*************************************************************************

NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E


                          Sources of Information
                          ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Perth, Western
  Australia, and Darwin, Northern Territory.    The 1-minute average
  maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by
  the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and
  Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.  The center position coordinates
  from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and
  annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general
  amounted to 40-50 nm or more.


                             Systems Tracked
                             ---------------

   Tropical LOW (17S)                                  04 - 10 Feb
   Severe Tropical Cyclone NICHOLAS (19S)              12 - 20 Feb

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: 17S     Basin: AUW
(System not named by BoM Perth)

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

08 FEB 04 0000  15.4 S  101.5 E  1000         25  Perip. gales west quad.
08 FEB 04 0600  15.8 S  101.1 E   996         30             "
08 FEB 04 1200  16.6 S  101.6 E   996         30             "
08 FEB 04 1800  16.2 S  101.3 E   996         30             "
08 FEB 04 2200  16.4 S  101.1 E   998         25
08 FEB 05 1430  15.7 S  102.2 E                   SAB bulletin: T1.5/1.5
08 FEB 05 2030  15.9 S  102.5 E                          "    : T2.0/2.0
08 FEB 06 0230  15.8 S  103.4 E                          "    : T1.5/2.0
08 FEB 06 0830  15.9 S  104.0 E                          "    : T2.0/2.0
08 FEB 06 1430  16.0 S  104.5 E                          "    : T2.0/2.0
08 FEB 07 0000  16.2 S  105.1 E         35        1st JTWC warning
08 FEB 07 0600  16.1 S  105.5 E   992         30  Perip. gales west quad.
08 FEB 07 1200  16.3 S  106.1 E   992   35    30  JTWC: 16.8S/105.8E
08 FEB 07 1800  16.4 S  106.5 E   992         30  Perip. gales west quad.
08 FEB 08 0000  17.0 S  106.7 E   992   35    30             "
08 FEB 08 0600  17.0 S  107.2 E   992         30             "
08 FEB 08 1200  17.0 S  107.8 E   992   40    30             "
08 FEB 08 1800  16.8 S  108.2 E   992         30             "
08 FEB 09 0000  17.4 S  108.1 E   990   35    30             "
08 FEB 09 0600  17.1 S  108.3 E   992         30             "
08 FEB 09 1200  16.7 S  108.3 E   992   35    30             "
08 FEB 09 1800  16.6 S  108.5 E   992         30             "
08 FEB 10 0000  15.6 S  109.2 E   994   30    25  Gale warning cancelled

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: NICHOLAS              Cyclone Number: 19S     Basin: AUW
(Name assigned by Perth TCWC)

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

08 FEB 12 1200  15.2 S  120.1 E   990         25
08 FEB 12 1800  15.1 S  120.4 E   988   35    30
08 FEB 13 0000  14.9 S  119.8 E   980         40
08 FEB 13 0600  14.4 S  120.8 E   980   45    40
08 FEB 13 1200  14.9 S  121.3 E   980         40
08 FEB 13 1800  15.3 S  121.4 E   980   45    40
08 FEB 14 0000  15.7 S  121.4 E   980         40
08 FEB 14 0600  15.9 S  120.8 E   980   60    40
08 FEB 14 1200  16.1 S  120.5 E   980         40
08 FEB 14 1800  16.2 S  120.2 E   980   65    40
08 FEB 15 0000  15.9 S  119.7 E   974   65    50
08 FEB 15 0600  15.8 S  119.5 E   974         50
08 FEB 15 1200  16.2 S  119.3 E   974   70    50  JTWC: 16.4S/118.8E
08 FEB 15 1800  16.4 S  117.8 E   966   75    55  JTWC: 16.7S/118.3E
08 FEB 16 0000  16.0 S  118.1 E   966   80    55  JTWC: 16.9S/118.1E
08 FEB 16 0600  16.8 S  118.1 E   960   80    65
08 FEB 16 1200  17.8 S  117.4 E   956   80    70
08 FEB 16 1800  17.6 S  116.9 E   944   75    80
08 FEB 17 0000  17.9 S  116.4 E   944   75    80  JTWC: 17.9S/115.9E
08 FEB 17 0600  18.3 S  115.8 E   956   70    70
08 FEB 17 1200  18.7 S  115.4 E   956   70    70
08 FEB 17 1800  19.0 S  114.7 E   956   70    70
08 FEB 18 0000  19.1 S  114.4 E   956   70    70  JTWC: 19.5S/113.8E
08 FEB 18 0600  19.8 S  114.1 E   964   75    60
08 FEB 18 1200  20.4 S  113.8 E   964   70    60
08 FEB 18 1800  20.9 S  113.5 E   964   65    60
08 FEB 19 0000  21.4 S  113.4 E   964   65    60
08 FEB 19 0600  21.9 S  113.4 E   968   60    55
08 FEB 19 1200  22.3 S  113.7 E   974   55    50
08 FEB 19 1800  22.9 S  113.7 E   978   50    45
08 FEB 20 0000  23.4 S  113.6 E   984         40
08 FEB 20 0600  24.5 S  113.8 E   990   35    30  Inland
08 FEB 20 1200  25.6 S  114.2 E         30        Final JTWC warning

*************************************************************************

NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - Longitude 135E to 160E


                           Sources of Information
                           ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Darwin, Northern
  Territory; Brisbane, Queensland; and Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea.
  The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from
  warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S.
  Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.    The center
  position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the
  Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the
  differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more.


                             Systems Tracked
                             ---------------

   Monsoon LOW                                         11 - 13 Feb
   Tropical LOW (20P)                                  28 Feb - 01 Mar

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: None    Basin: AUE
(System was a vigorous monsoon LOW--not a tropical cyclone)

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

08 FEB 11 1200  20.6 S  146.2 E               40  Inland/Gales E semi.
08 FEB 11 1800  21.3 S  148.0 E               40
08 FEB 12 0000  22.0 S  149.0 E               40
08 FEB 12 0600  24.0 S  150.6 E               50  2nd Low: 27.5S/153.6E
08 FEB 12 1200  25.0 S  153.0 E               40  Entering Pacific
08 FEB 12 1800  26.5 S  155.0 E               50
08 FEB 13 0000  27.2 S  158.8 E               50
08 FEB 13 0600  28.0 S  160.0 E               30  See Note

Note: Since this system was never called a 'tropical LOW' but treated as
a monsoon LOW, I have entered the highest forecast winds in Brisbane's
warnings in the 10-min avg MSW column.  The final data point places the
center on the Brisbane/Wellington boundary, so the 30-kt MSW may in fact
refer to the peak winds expected west of 160E--not the maximum occurring
at points further east.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: 20P     Basin: AUE
(System not named by BoM Brisbane)

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

08 FEB 28 0600  17.6 S  147.6 E               30
08 FEB 28 1200  17.3 S  148.8 E               30
08 FEB 28 1800  17.8 S  149.5 E  1000         30  Perip. gales NE quad.
08 FEB 29 0000  19.2 S  151.8 E  1000         30            "
08 FEB 29 0600  20.5 S  152.5 E   999   30    30  JTWC: 21.2S/154.3E
08 FEB 29 1000  22.8 S  155.6 E  1000         30  Gales NE and SW quads.
08 FEB 29 1200  23.0 S  155.7 E  1000         30            "
08 FEB 29 1800  23.8 S  157.6 E  1000   35    30  JTWC: 25.0S/159.7E
08 MAR 01 0000  25.5 S  159.5 E  1006         30  Gales in southern semi.
08 MAR 01 0600  26.1 S  162.4 E  1006         30  In Wellington's AOR

Note: Since this system was referred to as a 'tropical LOW' in Brisbane's
warnings, I have held the MSW to 30 kts and indicated gales as occurring
in the various quadrants as specified in the warnings.  JTWC issued two
warnings on this system, identifying it as TC-20P.  The significant
deltas between JTWC's and Brisbane's center coordinates suggest that
JTWC was perhaps following a different LLCC.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

              !!!!!!  IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ  !!!!!!

     To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note
  at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks
  I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/
  advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone
  warning agencies around the world.   Users of these tracks should
  be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during
  post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and
  analysts at the several warning centers.

     For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical
  cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of
  the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center:

     http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>

     The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their
  Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best
  tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the
  North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere:

     https://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc.php>


  SPECIAL NOTE:  Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries
  and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following
  websites:

    ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/>
    http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/>
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph>
    http://mpittweather.com>
    http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/>


  PREPARED BY:

  Gary Padgett              [email protected]


  SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY:

  Michael V. Padua          [email protected] 
                            [email protected]

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

Document: trak0802.htm
Updated: 5th March 2008

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