From: Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 10:17:48 +1000
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Good on ya Michael Thompson
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Howdy all!! Things are looking good for Sunday, Monday & Tuesday!! Taree
current obs are warm, humid day, with heaps of towering cumulus and cumulus
congestus! West is looking good again! Last nights storm had a few
microbursts, with some rain ( we received 10mm total from last night &
heavey rain shower this morning). Some reports (Only local ones) of pea
sized hail, and some wind gusts. However, over the ocean , a great
lightning display for all!! Unfortunately, I was out , without my camera!!

Paul...

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From: disarm at braenet.com.au
X-Sender: disarm at braenet.com.au (Unverified)
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 11:48:46 +1000
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Subject: aussie-weather: weekend forcast
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

the weekend forcast just looks better and better every time i see it!!!
late storm on sunday now in sydney, with showers and storms on monday..
why does tuesday have to be my day off work!! :(
TT's look good for monday as well.
hope the chasing all around the place goes well :)
Matt in sydney.

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From: "Jane ONeill" 
To: "Aussie Weather" 
Subject: aussie-weather: Melbourne storms
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:00:02 +1000
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Well, on such a quiet weather day, and after a very heavy and unexpected
shower a short while ago, I thought I'd share this with y'all.

YMML METARAWS YMML 0430Z 33010G15KT 9999 VCSH 5CU060 3SC075 5AC090
19.0/07.7 Q1016.7 RMK RF00.0/000.0 CLD:SCT073 BKN087 VIS:9999      TTF:INTER
0430/0700 5000 TSRA SCT020 FEW030CB
----------------------------------------------------------------
BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
VICTORIAN REGIONAL OFFICE

Thunderstorm Warning
Issued at 1333 on Friday the 23rd of October 1998 forFriday afternoon and
evening.

Isolated thunderstorms are expected over the metropolitan area this
afternoon
and evening.

--------------------------------------------------------------
BTW, Paul, looking on the GMS 2.32 image, there were some nice cells along
the ranges - and some even better ones out to sea!

Jane ONeill
Melbourne
Toner Express (A'Asia) Pty Ltd
Phone: 1800 061 334

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From: Blair Trewin 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Melbourne storms
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:09:04 +1000 (EST)
Cc: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Aussie Weather)
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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> 
> Well, on such a quiet weather day, and after a very heavy and unexpected
> shower a short while ago, I thought I'd share this with y'all.
(snip) 
> BTW, Paul, looking on the GMS 2.32 image, there were some nice cells along
> the ranges - and some even better ones out to sea!
> 
11mm at Mt. Dandenong and 6mm at Scoresby in the hour or so to 1500.
Only 1mm in central Melbourne (the rain was very heavy here but only
lasted for a couple of minutes). A few spots of red (40mm+/hour)
showing up on the radar east of Melbourne. Still a bit of shower
activity around, but the serious stuff is through.

Blair Trewin

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From: Paul_Mossman at agd.nsw.gov.au
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To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:09:00 +1000
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Melbourne storms
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Howdy Jane!! I hope that you get some action tonight!! BTW can you explain
thsie figures you gave at the start of your message??

Ta, Paul from Taree.

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From: "Jane ONeill" 
To: "Aussie Weather" 
Subject: aussie-weather: METARS
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:29:42 +1000
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Blair, thunder in Abbotsford, storm centred to SE of us (probably around
Oakleigh at a guess), moving from the NW.

Paul, Check out the following for the full interpretation:-

AVIATION WEATHER USERS GUIDE
http://www.bom.gov.au/info/avwx/avwxuser.shtml

Short explanation follows:
YMML METARAWS YMML         (Melbourne airport)
0430Z                                        (time UTC)
33010G15KT                               (wind direction - degrees, speed &
gusting to)
9999                                           (visibility - 10kms)
VCSH                                           (showers - don't know about
VC though?????)
5CU060 3SC075 5AC090             (5/8 Cu 6000', 3/8 Sc 7500', 5/8 Ac 9000')
19.0/07.7                                     (temp / DP)
Q1016.7                                        (barometric pressure)
RMK RF00.0/000.0                        (rainfall - last 10 mins/since 9am)
CLD:SCT073 BKN087 VIS:9999
TTF:INTER 0430/0700 5000 TSRA SCT020 FEW030CB    (between 430 & 700UTC a 50%
chance of storms)

Jane
Melbourne

Toner Express (A'Asia) Pty Ltd
Phone: 1800 061 334

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From: "Michael Thompson" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: weekend forcast
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:29:31 +1000
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With Tuesday off you could head north til about Taree, I am sure that
something may be on there Tuesday still.

I will have to look if the Illawarra forecast has been updated to reflect
the better prognosis, I doubt it.....

Michael


>the weekend forcast just looks better and better every time i see it!!!
>late storm on sunday now in sydney, with showers and storms on monday..
>why does tuesday have to be my day off work!! :(
>TT's look good for monday as well.
>hope the chasing all around the place goes well :)
>Matt in sydney.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Michael Thompson" 
To: 
Subject: aussie-weather: Wollongong Obs 3.30pm 23rd Oct
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:23:44 +1000
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No such luck here, some stratocumulus over mountains, but clear along coast.
Fresh NE seabreeze,  21.5C, 58%, 1018S.

Boring as all hell in other words.......

On the bright size my wife has finally relented to my pressure about moving
north, just have to find a job first.

Regards
Michael

>
>
>Howdy all!! Things are looking good for Sunday, Monday & Tuesday!! Taree
>current obs are warm, humid day, with heaps of towering cumulus and cumulus
>congestus! West is looking good again! Last nights storm had a few
>microbursts, with some rain ( we received 10mm total from last night &
>heavey rain shower this morning). Some reports (Only local ones) of pea
>sized hail, and some wind gusts. However, over the ocean , a great
>lightning display for all!! Unfortunately, I was out , without my camera!!
>
>Paul...

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From: "Michael Thompson" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Melbourne storms
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 15:31:23 +1000
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Thats two up you have on good ole Wollongong, still waiting for a storm this
month. Sprinkler on the grass now.

Michael



>Well, on such a quiet weather day, and after a very heavy and unexpected
>shower a short while ago, I thought I'd share this with y'all.

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From: "dpn" 
To: 
Subject: aussie-weather: Surprise Melbourne Storm
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 17:27:12 +1100
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Just goes to show how things can catch you out. e-mailed Paul from Taree
and told nothing happening down here today and not much expected. Bom
forecast was for fine and mild chance of a late shower. Even at midday
today nothing much happening but showers and storms suddenly developed over
the metro area after 1pm. I was in the Dandenongs  with a female friend. we
drove to the top of Mt Dandenong and watched as heavy showers with some cg
lightning and loud thunder rolled over. Just recently another storm moved
through the Ferntree Gully area with reports of heavy rain in the area.
still the prospect of some further activity over the next couple of hours.
2mm in the guage here at Kilsyth but I am sure other areas have had more.
Dane Newman.   

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From: "Nick Sykes" 
To: "aussie-weather" 
Subject: aussie-weather: Melbourne Storms
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 16:59:20 +1000
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Well what a surprise, didn't thing there would be anything today. During my
lunch break I went outside saw some nice Cu and thought 'this looks
promising', A couple of hours (3pm) later it was pouring and there were a
few nice loud bits of thunder.

It has cleared now but still looks pretty good, some Cu getting organised to
the west and I can see a rain curtain. It is very still, unlike in the
morning when there was a fresh north westerly, hopefully some action during
the night.

Nick

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From: Blair Trewin 
Subject: aussie-weather: Melbourne storms - more coming?
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Aussie Weather)
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 16:58:59 +1000 (EST)
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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The radar shows a large band of rain (about 40-50km wide)
currently between Cape Otway and Geelong and moving NE - 
a cell embedded in this has got pockets of 100mm/hr plus.
Aireys Inlet (which by my reckoning would be in the middle
of the band) has also dropped to 8.7 C, compared with 19.6
C at Geelong.

Also a smaller cell shown near Whittlesea - unfortunately 
there's a tall building in the way in that direction so I
can't get a sighter on the cloud.

Also unfortunately, the Mt. Dandenong rain display has 
gone on the blink. Scoresby's up to 10mm - obviously the
second storm hit them as well as the first.

Blair Trewin

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From: "Nick Sykes" 
To: "aussie-weather" 
Subject: aussie-weather: Hail storm along west coast Vic
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 17:13:47 +1000
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Severe hail storm along west coast of Vic, just heard on the radio, 3LO,
that there is a severe hail storm along the west coast.


Nick

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Nick Sykes" 
To: "aussie-weather" 
Subject: aussie-weather: Aireys Inlet getting slammed, Severe thunderstorm warning
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 17:16:54 +1000
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Hail the size of golf balls, 50knot plus winds at Aireys Inlet

BOM has just issued a severe thunderstorm warning for Central Vic, BOM says
high potential of storms, active atmosphere, cells all around, potential for
severe, storms happening.

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From: Blair Trewin 
Subject: aussie-weather: Melbourne - more on storms
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Aussie Weather)
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 17:16:13 +1000 (EST)
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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Radio reports (1710) of large hail and 50+ knot winds near Aireys 
Inlet. A severe thunderstorm warning has been issued. The warning
says it's moving E-SE, but that doesn't match what the radar is
showing - it looks more ENE. This track would see it miss Melbourne
but possibly affect the far southern suburbs.

Blair Trewin

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: "Nick Sykes" 
To: "aussie-weather" 
Subject: aussie-weather: Listen to ABC regional at 5.30pm in Vic for cross to BOM
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 17:19:07 +1000
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BOM on radio at 5.30pm on ABC regional (594 AM), should have more info on
severe weather situation developing

Nick

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From: "Nick Sykes" 
To: "aussie-weather" 
Subject: aussie-weather: Large cell to South West, south
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 17:30:04 +1000
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    A large organised cell has developed to the south, south west of my
place, Clayton, hell yeah.

Nick

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From: "paulmoss" 
To: 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Large cell to South West, south
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 17:44:06 +1000
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Great to hear!! Go Melbourne! Keep us informed guys!! Hopefully it will be
the eastcoasters on Sat/Sun?Mon/Tues doing the same!!

By the way, If anyone is going to chase up this way, please let me know!!!!
I know the area around here very well, including viewpoints ok! And I have
proper topo maps for the area!

P from T

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From: "Nick Sykes" 
To: "aussie-weather" 
Subject: aussie-weather: Cell moved south
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 17:59:35 +1000
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The large cell that developed to the south, south west of my place moved to
the south east, still some large Cu around, looks like a weak cell to north
west, defiantly still some potential, the BOM sounded pretty sure something
will happen, hopefully

Blair can you see anything on the radar to the north west of Melbourne?

Nick

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: Blair Trewin 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Cell moved south
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 18:15:19 +1000 (EST)
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

> 
> The large cell that developed to the south, south west of my place moved to
> the south east, still some large Cu around, looks like a weak cell to north
> west, defiantly still some potential, the BOM sounded pretty sure something
> will happen, hopefully
> 
> Blair can you see anything on the radar to the north west of Melbourne?
There's a bit about in the way of showers but just the one isolated
and small cell south of Melton. The cell which hit Aireys Inlet is
now over the Mornington Peninsula, but seems to be breaking up. 
Also quite a bit of action in the Sale area. 

Infuriatingly, Aireys Inlet has gone off the air. Highest rainfall
I've seen so far is 16mm at East Sale, but I wouldn't be surprised
if we see a few 20s and 30s.

My gut feeling (I'm not a forecaster, so don't take this as gospel)
is that the activity might have peaked.

Blair Trewin

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

From: Blair Trewin 
Subject: aussie-weather: Melbourne - storm update 1840
To: aussie-weather at world.std.com (Aussie Weather)
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 18:42:36 +1000 (EST)
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
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There is a small but intense cell in the bay just south of the 
city - looks like it is about to come ashore in the Elwood/Brighton
area.

Beyond that there is a marked clearance to the west - clear skies
visible and nothing on the radar. I'd say this is the final fling.

(This will be my last update for tonight - as soon as things clear
up enough for me to ride home without getting soaked I'm on my way).

Blair Trewin

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Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 18:22:44 +0930 (CST)
From: "Hank de_Wit  (SA Computing)" 
To: Aussie Weather 
Subject: Re: aussie-weather: Melbourne - storm update 1840
Sender: aussie-weather-approval at world.std.com
Reply-To: aussie-weather at world.std.com

Airey's Inlet METARS

METARAWS AIRE 0830Z 30008G09KT //// 12.0/10.7 ////// RMK RF00.0////./
SPECIAWS AIRE 0653Z 22026G54KT //// 08.7/06.0 ////// RMK RF06.0/001.8
SPECIAWS AIRE 0650Z 19016G54KT //// 14.4/11.4 ////// RMK RF01.0/001.8
METARAWS AIRE 0630Z 22005G06KT //// 15.6/11.8 ////// RMK RF00.0/000.8
METARAWS AIRE 0600Z 29003G05KT //// 16.5/12.7 ////// RMK RF00.0/000.8
METARAWS AIRE 0530Z 31010G19KT //// 16.6/13.7 ////// RMK RF00.2/000.8
METARAWS AIRE 0500Z 29014G25KT //// 19.9/09.2 ////// RMK RF00.0/000.0
SPECIAWS AIRE 0432Z 31016G27KT //// 19.2/08.5 ////// RMK RF00.0/000.0
METARAWS AIRE 0430Z 31016G25KT //// 19.5/08.8 ////// RMK RF00.0/000.0
SPECIAWS AIRE 0414Z 33019G32KT //// 19.8/08.8 ////// RMK RF00.0/000.0
METARAWS AIRE 0400Z 33018G26KT //// 19.2/10.2 ////// RMK RF00.0/000.0
METARAWS AIRE 0330Z 31015G23KT //// 19.1/09.0 ////// RMK RF00.0/000.0

=================================================================
Hank de Wit                                ph: (08) 8366 2674
Computer Manager                           fx: (08) 8362 0570
South Australian Regional Office
Bureau of Meteorology                internet: h.dewit at bom.gov.au
=================================================================

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From: "Dr Martin Davey" 
To: 
Subject: aussie-weather: Nothing in Adelaide today.
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 20:36:17 +0930
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Hi There storm lovers,
                                      I am new to the list. I have been
reading with interest about this afternoon's storms in Melbourne. Not much
to report here today. Some early high cloud. There were some distant cumulus
clouds to the east obviously heading to Melbourne. By sunset not a cloud in
the sky.

Martin

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From: "Michael Thompson" 
To: 
Subject: aussie-weather: Saturday Chance for Thunderstorm ?
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 22:58:05 +1000
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I would write Saturday off completely for Sydney - Illawarra.  The strato
cumulus and orographic stratus suddenly thickened over the Illawarra
escarpment this afternoon around 3pm, and had some healthier Cu embedding in
it which gave a light shower in some places. Nothing thundery, no even
close, but potential none the less.

It could point to better chances for a storm tomorrow afternoon than I had
thought, especially given what happened in Victoria this afternoon.

At present ( 11pm ) Radar shows a line of weakening thunderstorms near
Orbost, I doubt it will make it around the corner into NSW proper, but the
far south coast ( Eden ) may see something in a few hours if it does
survive.



Michael Thompson
http://thunder.simplenet.com

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From: "paulmoss" 
To: 
Subject: aussie-weather: Re: aussie-weather - this weekend!!
Date: Fri, 23 Oct 1998 23:40:45 +1000
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Howdy Martin! Welcome to the list!

How about this weekends forecasts people! Taree is looking better and
better! Tomorrow afternoon thunderstorms. Sunday Thunderstorms. Monday
Thunderstorms. Tuesday, change (which could cause more storms!!)

I am ready!!!

P From T!