[Index]
Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks February 2008
[Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett]
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Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks February 2008 [Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett] |
GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - FEBRUARY 2008
!!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!!
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SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion
Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional
Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average
maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from
JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the
Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
or more.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Very Intense Tropical Cyclone HONDO (MFR-10 / 16S) 04 - 25 Feb
Intense Tropical Cyclone IVAN (MFR-11 / 18S) 07 - 22 Feb
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: HONDO Cyclone Number: 16S Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 10
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
08 FEB 04 0600 12.3 S 80.3 E 999 25 Locally 30 kts nr cntr
08 FEB 04 1200 12.6 S 80.1 E 998 30 25 JTWC: 13.1S/79.9E
08 FEB 04 1800 13.0 S 80.5 E 998 25 Locally 30 kts nr cntr
08 FEB 05 0000 13.4 S 80.4 E 997 45 30
08 FEB 05 0600 13.4 S 80.9 E 990 40
08 FEB 05 1200 13.7 S 80.9 E 975 65 65
08 FEB 05 1800 13.9 S 81.1 E 975 65
08 FEB 06 0000 14.2 S 81.2 E 975 75 65
08 FEB 06 0600 14.1 S 81.3 E 965 70
08 FEB 06 1200 14.2 S 81.7 E 960 90 75
08 FEB 06 1800 14.4 S 82.0 E 934 120 100
08 FEB 07 0000 14.7 S 82.3 E 925 105
08 FEB 07 0600 14.7 S 82.5 E 925 120 105
08 FEB 07 1200 15.0 S 82.7 E 915 115
08 FEB 07 1800 15.0 S 82.9 E 906 125 120
08 FEB 08 0000 15.1 S 83.2 E 915 115
08 FEB 08 0600 15.0 S 83.6 E 925 120 105
08 FEB 08 1200 15.4 S 84.1 E 925 105
08 FEB 08 1800 15.6 S 84.4 E 925 115 105
08 FEB 09 0000 16.1 S 85.0 E 925 105
08 FEB 09 0600 16.6 S 85.3 E 925 120 105
08 FEB 09 1200 17.4 S 85.9 E 925 105
08 FEB 09 1800 18.3 S 86.3 E 935 110 95
08 FEB 10 0000 19.3 S 86.5 E 940 90
08 FEB 10 0600 20.3 S 86.7 E 945 100 85
08 FEB 10 1200 20.8 S 86.5 E 955 75
08 FEB 10 1800 21.4 S 86.7 E 965 70 70
08 FEB 11 0000 22.4 S 85.9 E 980 55
08 FEB 11 0600 23.1 S 86.0 E 985 45 50
08 FEB 11 1200 23.7 S 85.7 E 988 45 Locally 50 kts
08 FEB 11 1800 24.3 S 85.2 E 994 40 35
08 FEB 12 0000 24.6 S 85.1 E 994 35
08 FEB 12 0600 24.8 S 85.2 E 994 35 35
08 FEB 12 1200 24.3 S 84.8 E 1000 25 Locally 30 kts SW semi
08 FEB 12 1800 23.5 S 84.0 E 20 See Note
08 FEB 13 0000 22.9 S 83.6 E 20
08 FEB 13 0600 22.4 S 83.2 E 20
08 FEB 13 1200 22.0 S 83.0 E 15
08 FEB 13 1800 21.3 S 82.6 E 15
08 FEB 14 0000 21.2 S 82.3 E 15
08 FEB 14 0600 21.3 S 82.1 E 15
08 FEB 14 1200 21.8 S 81.4 E 15
08 FEB 14 1800 21.7 S 80.3 E 15
08 FEB 15 0000 21.6 S 79.3 E 15
08 FEB 15 0600 21.4 S 78.5 E 15
08 FEB 15 1200 20.8 S 78.2 E 15
08 FEB 15 1800 20.4 S 77.7 E 15
08 FEB 16 0000 19.9 S 77.2 E 15
08 FEB 16 0600 19.5 S 76.7 E 15
08 FEB 16 1200 19.3 S 75.8 E 15
08 FEB 16 1800 18.9 S 73.9 E 15
08 FEB 17 0000 18.5 S 73.0 E 15
08 FEB 17 0600 18.2 S 72.3 E 15
08 FEB 17 1200 17.8 S 71.5 E 15
08 FEB 17 1800 17.8 S 71.0 E 15
08 FEB 18 0000 17.8 S 70.4 E 15
08 FEB 18 0600 17.9 S 69.9 E 15
08 FEB 18 1200 18.1 S 69.2 E 15
08 FEB 18 1800 18.3 S 68.1 E 15
08 FEB 19 0000 18.4 S 67.5 E 15
08 FEB 19 0600 18.7 S 66.4 E 15
08 FEB 19 1200 19.0 S 64.7 E 15
08 FEB 19 1800 18.9 S 63.6 E 15
08 FEB 20 0000 18.6 S 62.6 E 15
08 FEB 20 0600 18.3 S 61.8 E 15
08 FEB 20 1200 18.2 S 61.1 E 15
08 FEB 20 1800 18.0 S 60.6 E 15
08 FEB 21 0000 18.1 S 59.8 E 1005 25 System regenerated
08 FEB 21 0600 18.3 S 59.2 E 1003 25 Locally 30 kts to SSE
08 FEB 21 1200 18.0 S 59.9 E 1002 25 "
08 FEB 21 1800 18.2 S 59.9 E 998 30
08 FEB 22 0000 18.4 S 59.7 E 998 30
08 FEB 22 0600 18.6 S 59.6 E 998 30
08 FEB 22 1200 18.9 S 59.0 E 998 30
08 FEB 22 1800 19.0 S 58.9 E 1000 30
08 FEB 23 0000 19.3 S 58.1 E 999 35 30
08 FEB 23 0600 20.0 S 56.6 E 998 30
08 FEB 23 1200 20.5 S 55.8 E 999 45 30
08 FEB 23 1800 21.8 S 55.2 E 999 30
08 FEB 24 0000 22.7 S 54.5 E 1002 30 25 Locally 30 kts SE semi
08 FEB 24 0600 23.5 S 53.4 E 1002 25 "
08 FEB 24 1200 24.5 S 52.5 E 1002 25 "
08 FEB 24 1800 26.2 S 51.7 E 1005 20
08 FEB 25 0000 27.8 S 51.5 E 1006 20
08 FEB 25 0600 29.2 S 51.5 E 1007 20
Note: The coordinates from 12/1800 through 20/1800 UTC, inclusive, were
obtained from a table on Meteo France La Reunion's website, filling in
the inter-warning period of Hondo's life. No MSW values were given--I
arbitrarily chose to use 15 kts during this period since the system was
very weak with little convection. Also, the final MFR warning was issued
at 24/1200 UTC, and the final three data points were obtained from the
online table, which likely represents a sort of working "best track".
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: IVAN Cyclone Number: 18S Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 11
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
08 FEB 07 0600 13.0 S 61.0 E 997 35 30
08 FEB 07 1200 13.9 S 61.3 E 990 40
08 FEB 07 1800 14.5 S 62.5 E 984 55 50
08 FEB 08 0000 15.3 S 62.8 E 984 50
08 FEB 08 0600 15.4 S 63.2 E 984 55 50
08 FEB 08 1200 16.1 S 63.3 E 980 55
08 FEB 08 1800 16.1 S 63.1 E 975 60 60
08 FEB 09 0000 15.9 S 63.0 E 975 60
08 FEB 09 0600 15.8 S 63.0 E 975 65 60
08 FEB 09 1200 15.7 S 63.1 E 980 55
08 FEB 09 1800 15.6 S 63.8 E 980 60 55
08 FEB 10 0000 15.4 S 64.0 E 984 50
08 FEB 10 0600 14.9 S 64.4 E 985 55 50
08 FEB 10 1200 14.9 S 64.6 E 980 50
08 FEB 10 1800 14.6 S 65.0 E 985 75 50
08 FEB 11 0000 14.4 S 65.0 E 978 55
08 FEB 11 0600 14.5 S 65.0 E 972 85 60
08 FEB 11 1200 14.3 S 65.0 E 970 65
08 FEB 11 1800 14.2 S 64.9 E 970 85 65
08 FEB 12 0000 14.1 S 64.6 E 970 65
08 FEB 12 0600 14.1 S 64.6 E 975 65 60
08 FEB 12 1200 14.0 S 64.2 E 985 50
08 FEB 12 1800 14.2 S 64.0 E 987 55 45
08 FEB 13 0000 14.2 S 62.9 E 987 45
08 FEB 13 0600 13.8 S 62.2 E 990 40 40
08 FEB 13 1200 13.7 S 61.4 E 990 40
08 FEB 13 1800 13.4 S 61.0 E 985 55 45
08 FEB 14 0000 13.3 S 60.3 E 985 45
08 FEB 14 0600 13.6 S 59.5 E 983 65 50
08 FEB 14 1200 13.8 S 58.5 E 983 50
08 FEB 14 1800 14.1 S 57.6 E 980 75 55
08 FEB 15 0000 14.8 S 56.4 E 975 60
08 FEB 15 0600 15.2 S 55.7 E 975 80 60
08 FEB 15 1200 15.6 S 54.7 E 970 65
08 FEB 15 1800 16.2 S 54.1 E 966 95 65
08 FEB 16 0000 16.4 S 53.3 E 960 95 70
08 FEB 16 0600 16.2 S 52.6 E 955 100 75
08 FEB 16 1200 16.5 S 51.9 E 941 115 90
08 FEB 16 1800 16.7 S 51.1 E 930 115 100
08 FEB 17 0000 17.0 S 50.5 E 930 110 100
08 FEB 17 0600 17.2 S 49.5 E 935 100 95
08 FEB 17 1200 17.2 S 48.8 E 80 40 Inland in Madagascar
08 FEB 17 1800 17.3 S 47.9 E 65 30 Locally 35 kts
08 FEB 18 0000 17.7 S 47.0 E 60 30 "
08 FEB 18 0600 18.4 S 46.0 E 40 25
08 FEB 18 1200 19.9 S 45.3 E 35 20 JTWC: 19.1S/46.3E
08 FEB 18 1800 19.4 S 45.7 E 30 Final JTWC warning
08 FEB 19 0000 20.9 S 44.1 E 15 Still over land
08 FEB 19 0600 21.6 S 43.5 E 15
08 FEB 19 1200 22.3 S 43.2 E 15 Over water
08 FEB 19 1800 22.5 S 43.1 E 15
08 FEB 20 0000 22.8 S 42.9 E 15
08 FEB 20 0600 23.0 S 42.8 E 15
08 FEB 20 1200 23.2 S 42.7 E 15
08 FEB 20 1800 23.4 S 42.4 E 15
08 FEB 21 0000 23.3 S 42.2 E 998 25 30 kts S periphery
08 FEB 21 0600 22.4 S 42.0 E 25
08 FEB 22 1200 21.8 S 41.6 E 998 30
Note: MFR warnings after 17/0600 UTC did not contain an estimate of
central pressure. The final two MFR bulletins at 18/0600 and 1200 UTC
did not contain any wind estimates. The values given above are my
estimates based on the continued weakening of the system. The data
points from 19/0000 through 20/1800 UTC were taken from a table archived
on MFR's website. Two additional bulletins were issued at 21/0000 and
22/1200 UTC.
*************************************************************************
NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Perth, Western
Australia, and Darwin, Northern Territory. The 1-minute average
maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by
the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and
Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates
from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and
annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general
amounted to 40-50 nm or more.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Tropical LOW (17S) 04 - 10 Feb
Severe Tropical Cyclone NICHOLAS (19S) 12 - 20 Feb
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 17S Basin: AUW
(System not named by BoM Perth)
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
08 FEB 04 0000 15.4 S 101.5 E 1000 25 Perip. gales west quad.
08 FEB 04 0600 15.8 S 101.1 E 996 30 "
08 FEB 04 1200 16.6 S 101.6 E 996 30 "
08 FEB 04 1800 16.2 S 101.3 E 996 30 "
08 FEB 04 2200 16.4 S 101.1 E 998 25
08 FEB 05 1430 15.7 S 102.2 E SAB bulletin: T1.5/1.5
08 FEB 05 2030 15.9 S 102.5 E " : T2.0/2.0
08 FEB 06 0230 15.8 S 103.4 E " : T1.5/2.0
08 FEB 06 0830 15.9 S 104.0 E " : T2.0/2.0
08 FEB 06 1430 16.0 S 104.5 E " : T2.0/2.0
08 FEB 07 0000 16.2 S 105.1 E 35 1st JTWC warning
08 FEB 07 0600 16.1 S 105.5 E 992 30 Perip. gales west quad.
08 FEB 07 1200 16.3 S 106.1 E 992 35 30 JTWC: 16.8S/105.8E
08 FEB 07 1800 16.4 S 106.5 E 992 30 Perip. gales west quad.
08 FEB 08 0000 17.0 S 106.7 E 992 35 30 "
08 FEB 08 0600 17.0 S 107.2 E 992 30 "
08 FEB 08 1200 17.0 S 107.8 E 992 40 30 "
08 FEB 08 1800 16.8 S 108.2 E 992 30 "
08 FEB 09 0000 17.4 S 108.1 E 990 35 30 "
08 FEB 09 0600 17.1 S 108.3 E 992 30 "
08 FEB 09 1200 16.7 S 108.3 E 992 35 30 "
08 FEB 09 1800 16.6 S 108.5 E 992 30 "
08 FEB 10 0000 15.6 S 109.2 E 994 30 25 Gale warning cancelled
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: NICHOLAS Cyclone Number: 19S Basin: AUW
(Name assigned by Perth TCWC)
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
08 FEB 12 1200 15.2 S 120.1 E 990 25
08 FEB 12 1800 15.1 S 120.4 E 988 35 30
08 FEB 13 0000 14.9 S 119.8 E 980 40
08 FEB 13 0600 14.4 S 120.8 E 980 45 40
08 FEB 13 1200 14.9 S 121.3 E 980 40
08 FEB 13 1800 15.3 S 121.4 E 980 45 40
08 FEB 14 0000 15.7 S 121.4 E 980 40
08 FEB 14 0600 15.9 S 120.8 E 980 60 40
08 FEB 14 1200 16.1 S 120.5 E 980 40
08 FEB 14 1800 16.2 S 120.2 E 980 65 40
08 FEB 15 0000 15.9 S 119.7 E 974 65 50
08 FEB 15 0600 15.8 S 119.5 E 974 50
08 FEB 15 1200 16.2 S 119.3 E 974 70 50 JTWC: 16.4S/118.8E
08 FEB 15 1800 16.4 S 117.8 E 966 75 55 JTWC: 16.7S/118.3E
08 FEB 16 0000 16.0 S 118.1 E 966 80 55 JTWC: 16.9S/118.1E
08 FEB 16 0600 16.8 S 118.1 E 960 80 65
08 FEB 16 1200 17.8 S 117.4 E 956 80 70
08 FEB 16 1800 17.6 S 116.9 E 944 75 80
08 FEB 17 0000 17.9 S 116.4 E 944 75 80 JTWC: 17.9S/115.9E
08 FEB 17 0600 18.3 S 115.8 E 956 70 70
08 FEB 17 1200 18.7 S 115.4 E 956 70 70
08 FEB 17 1800 19.0 S 114.7 E 956 70 70
08 FEB 18 0000 19.1 S 114.4 E 956 70 70 JTWC: 19.5S/113.8E
08 FEB 18 0600 19.8 S 114.1 E 964 75 60
08 FEB 18 1200 20.4 S 113.8 E 964 70 60
08 FEB 18 1800 20.9 S 113.5 E 964 65 60
08 FEB 19 0000 21.4 S 113.4 E 964 65 60
08 FEB 19 0600 21.9 S 113.4 E 968 60 55
08 FEB 19 1200 22.3 S 113.7 E 974 55 50
08 FEB 19 1800 22.9 S 113.7 E 978 50 45
08 FEB 20 0000 23.4 S 113.6 E 984 40
08 FEB 20 0600 24.5 S 113.8 E 990 35 30 Inland
08 FEB 20 1200 25.6 S 114.2 E 30 Final JTWC warning
*************************************************************************
NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - Longitude 135E to 160E
Sources of Information
----------------------
The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Darwin, Northern
Territory; Brisbane, Queensland; and Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea.
The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from
warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S.
Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center
position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the
Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the
differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more.
Systems Tracked
---------------
Monsoon LOW 11 - 13 Feb
Tropical LOW (20P) 28 Feb - 01 Mar
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: AUE
(System was a vigorous monsoon LOW--not a tropical cyclone)
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
08 FEB 11 1200 20.6 S 146.2 E 40 Inland/Gales E semi.
08 FEB 11 1800 21.3 S 148.0 E 40
08 FEB 12 0000 22.0 S 149.0 E 40
08 FEB 12 0600 24.0 S 150.6 E 50 2nd Low: 27.5S/153.6E
08 FEB 12 1200 25.0 S 153.0 E 40 Entering Pacific
08 FEB 12 1800 26.5 S 155.0 E 50
08 FEB 13 0000 27.2 S 158.8 E 50
08 FEB 13 0600 28.0 S 160.0 E 30 See Note
Note: Since this system was never called a 'tropical LOW' but treated as
a monsoon LOW, I have entered the highest forecast winds in Brisbane's
warnings in the 10-min avg MSW column. The final data point places the
center on the Brisbane/Wellington boundary, so the 30-kt MSW may in fact
refer to the peak winds expected west of 160E--not the maximum occurring
at points further east.
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 20P Basin: AUE
(System not named by BoM Brisbane)
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
08 FEB 28 0600 17.6 S 147.6 E 30
08 FEB 28 1200 17.3 S 148.8 E 30
08 FEB 28 1800 17.8 S 149.5 E 1000 30 Perip. gales NE quad.
08 FEB 29 0000 19.2 S 151.8 E 1000 30 "
08 FEB 29 0600 20.5 S 152.5 E 999 30 30 JTWC: 21.2S/154.3E
08 FEB 29 1000 22.8 S 155.6 E 1000 30 Gales NE and SW quads.
08 FEB 29 1200 23.0 S 155.7 E 1000 30 "
08 FEB 29 1800 23.8 S 157.6 E 1000 35 30 JTWC: 25.0S/159.7E
08 MAR 01 0000 25.5 S 159.5 E 1006 30 Gales in southern semi.
08 MAR 01 0600 26.1 S 162.4 E 1006 30 In Wellington's AOR
Note: Since this system was referred to as a 'tropical LOW' in Brisbane's
warnings, I have held the MSW to 30 kts and indicated gales as occurring
in the various quadrants as specified in the warnings. JTWC issued two
warnings on this system, identifying it as TC-20P. The significant
deltas between JTWC's and Brisbane's center coordinates suggest that
JTWC was perhaps following a different LLCC.
*************************************************************************
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!!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!!
To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note
at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks
I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/
advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone
warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should
be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during
post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and
analysts at the several warning centers.
For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical
cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of
the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>
The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their
Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best
tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the
North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere:
https://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc.php>
SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries
and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following
websites:
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/>
http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/>
http://www.typhoon2000.ph>
http://mpittweather.com>
http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/>
PREPARED BY:
Gary Padgett [email protected]
SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY:
Michael V. Padua [email protected]
[email protected]
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
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Document: trak0802.htm
Updated: 5th March 2008 |
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