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Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks October 2006
[Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett]

              GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - OCTOBER 2006


          !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!!


*************************************************************************

NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average
  maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational
  forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National
  Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for locations east of longitude
  140W, and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu,
  Hawaii, for locations west of longitude 140W.  A 1-minute averaging
  period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military
  warning services for tropical cyclone warnings.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Storm NORMAN (15E)                         09 - 15 Oct
   Tropical Storm OLIVIA (16E)                         09 - 12 Oct
   Tropical Depression (04C)                           13 - 14 Oct
   Hurricane PAUL (17E)                                21 - 26 Oct
   Tropical Depression (18E)                           26 - 28 Oct

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: NORMAN                Cyclone Number: 15E     Basin: NEP


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

06 OCT 09 0000  14.2 N  117.1 W  1006   30
06 OCT 09 0600  14.9 N  117.5 W  1006   30
06 OCT 09 1200  15.5 N  117.6 W  1002   40
06 OCT 09 1800  15.9 N  117.9 W  1002   40
06 OCT 10 0000  16.6 N  117.8 W  1000   45
06 OCT 10 0600  16.4 N  117.8 W  1000   45
06 OCT 10 1200  16.8 N  117.9 W  1002   40
06 OCT 10 1800  16.5 N  117.9 W  1006   30
06 OCT 11 0000  16.7 N  117.3 W  1008   25
06 OCT 11 0300  16.8 N  117.1 W  1008   25         Final advisory
06 OCT 11 1200  17.0 N  117.0 W  1008   20         See Note
06 OCT 11 1800  18.0 N  115.0 W  1008   20
06 OCT 12 0000  17.0 N  115.0 W  1008   20
06 OCT 12 0600  17.0 N  115.0 W  1008   20
06 OCT 13 0000  16.0 N  113.0 W  1007   20
06 OCT 13 0600  15.0 N  111.0 W  1007   20
06 OCT 13 1800  15.0 N  111.0 W  1007   20
06 OCT 14 0000  15.0 N  110.0 W  1005   20
06 OCT 14 0600  15.0 N  108.0 W  1005   20         Possible new LOW cntr
06 OCT 14 1200  17.0 N  108.0 W  1005   20
06 OCT 14 1800  17.0 N  108.0 W  1005   20
06 OCT 15 0000  17.0 N  105.0 W  1003   25
06 OCT 15 0600  17.9 N  105.2 W  1001   30         Advisories reinitiated
06 OCT 15 1200  18.8 N  104.8 W  1001   30
06 OCT 15 1800  19.1 N  104.7 W  1000   30
06 OCT 15 2100  19.2 N  104.7 W  1003   30

Note: From 11/1200 to 15/0000 UTC, inclusive, the positions in the track
above were obtained from the regular TPC/NHC Tropical Weather Discussions
for the Eastern North Pacific.  Some of the discussions gave the SLP of
Norman's remnant LOW; for those times which did not I retained the
previously referenced pressure.  I arbitrarily chose 20 kts for the MSW
during this period, except that I upped it to 25 kts at 15/0000 UTC just
prior to advisories being reinitiated.  A few of the discussions did not
give any coordinates for Norman's remnant LOW; hence, there are some
gaps in the times.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: OLIVIA                Cyclone Number: 16E     Basin: NEP


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

06 OCT 09 1800  12.7 N  127.8 W  1005   30
06 OCT 10 0000  13.1 N  127.7 W  1005   30
06 OCT 10 0600  13.8 N  127.7 W  1005   30
06 OCT 10 1200  14.4 N  127.6 W  1000   40
06 OCT 10 1800  15.5 N  126.4 W  1000   40
06 OCT 11 0000  16.2 N  125.7 W  1000   40
06 OCT 11 0600  16.7 N  125.1 W  1005   30
06 OCT 11 1200  16.9 N  124.7 W  1005   30
06 OCT 11 1800  17.0 N  124.0 W  1007   25
06 OCT 12 0000  17.3 N  123.1 W  1008   25
06 OCT 12 0600  17.5 N  122.3 W  1008   25
06 OCT 12 1200  17.6 N  121.5 W  1008   25
06 OCT 12 1800  17.6 N  120.8 W  1008   25
06 OCT 12 2100  17.5 N  120.4 W  1008   25

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: 04C     Basin: NEP


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

06 OCT 13 1800  13.7 N  166.3 W  1007   30
06 OCT 14 0000  14.3 N  165.6 W  1007   30
06 OCT 14 0600  13.9 N  165.8 W  1007   30
06 OCT 14 1200  13.0 N  165.5 W  1007   25

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: PAUL                  Cyclone Number: 17E     Basin: NEP


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

06 OCT 21 0600  15.5 N  105.4 W  1004   30
06 OCT 21 1200  15.9 N  106.8 W  1001   35
06 OCT 21 1800  16.0 N  107.1 W  1000   45
06 OCT 22 0000  15.9 N  107.7 W  1000   45
06 OCT 22 0600  15.7 N  108.6 W  1000   45
06 OCT 22 1200  15.9 N  108.8 W  1000   45
06 OCT 22 1800  15.8 N  110.1 W   994   55
06 OCT 23 0000  16.0 N  110.9 W   979   75
06 OCT 23 0600  16.0 N  111.3 W   976   80
06 OCT 23 1200  16.3 N  111.4 W   973   85
06 OCT 23 1800  16.7 N  111.6 W   970   90        95 kts/965 mb at 1500Z
06 OCT 24 0000  17.3 N  111.7 W   979   80
06 OCT 24 0600  18.1 N  111.5 W   982   70
06 OCT 24 1200  18.6 N  112.0 W   982   70
06 OCT 24 1800  19.8 N  111.5 W   992   55        Downgraded at 1500Z
06 OCT 25 0000  20.6 N  110.9 W  1003   40
06 OCT 25 0600  21.5 N  110.2 W  1003   40
06 OCT 25 1200  22.7 N  109.2 W  1001   40 
06 OCT 25 1800  23.8 N  108.1 W  1001   40
06 OCT 26 0000  24.5 N  108.2 W  1005   30        Downgraded at 2300Z
06 OCT 26 0600  25.0 N  108.0 W  1008   25
06 OCT 26 0900  25.2 N  107.8 W  1008   25        Cntr inland in Mexico

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: 18E     Basin: NEP


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

06 OCT 26 1200  16.7 N  103.9 W  1008   30
06 OCT 26 1800  16.9 N  104.3 W  1008   30
06 OCT 27 0000  16.9 N  105.2 W  1007   30
06 OCT 27 0600  16.7 N  106.0 W  1007   25
06 OCT 27 1200  16.0 N  105.0 W  1008   25
06 OCT 27 1800  15.7 N  105.5 W  1009   25
06 OCT 28 0000  15.8 N  105.8 W  1010   25
06 OCT 28 0300  15.8 N  106.1 W  1010   25

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
  values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
  Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
  located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.  The central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained
  from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which
  is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
  ological Centre for the basin.  In a few instances, information from
  warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized.
  The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com-
  pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column
  when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more.

     Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the
  Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings
  issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines'
  Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration
  (PAGASA).  A special thanks to Michael for his efforts.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Storm BEBINCA (19W / 0616 / NENENG)        28 Sep - 06 Oct
   Tropical Storm RUMBIA (20W / 0617)                  02 - 06 Oct
   Typhoon SOULIK (21W / 0618)                         08 - 17 Oct
   Super Typhoon CIMARON (22W / 0619 / PAENG)          26 Oct - 06 Nov

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: BEBINCA               Cyclone Number: 19W     Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: NENENG      JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0616

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

06 SEP 28 1200  13.0 N  143.0 E  1004         25  JMA bulletins
06 SEP 28 1800  12.0 N  141.0 E  1002         25
06 SEP 29 0000  13.0 N  141.0 E  1002         25
06 SEP 29 0600  13.0 N  140.0 E  1002         25
06 SEP 29 1200  13.0 N  139.0 E  1004         25
06 SEP 29 1800  12.0 N  140.0 E  1000         25
06 SEP 30 0000  12.0 N  140.0 E  1000         25
06 SEP 30 0600  13.0 N  140.0 E  1000         25
06 SEP 30 1200  13.0 N  138.0 E  1000         25
06 SEP 30 1800  14.0 N  139.0 E  1000         25
06 OCT 01 0000  14.0 N  136.0 E  1000         25
06 OCT 01 0600  14.0 N  136.0 E   998         25
06 OCT 01 1200  15.0 N  132.5 E   998   30    25  JMA: 14.0N/133.0E
06 OCT 01 1800  15.1 N  130.4 E   998   30    30  JMA: 14.7N/130.6E
06 OCT 02 0000  14.4 N  131.1 E   996   30    30  JMA: 15.2N/130.2E
06 OCT 02 0600  14.4 N  131.0 E   994   30    30  JMA: 15.3N/130.0E
06 OCT 02 1200  14.6 N  130.9 E   994   30    30  JMA: 15.0N/130.0E
06 OCT 02 1800  14.2 N  129.8 E   994   35    30  JMA: 14.5N/131.0E
06 OCT 03 0000  14.6 N  130.9 E   992   35    35
06 OCT 03 0600  15.2 N  130.5 E   992   35    35  JMA: 15.9N/130.6E
06 OCT 03 1200  16.4 N  130.3 E   992   35    35  JMA: 17.2N/131.2E
06 OCT 03 1800  17.8 N  130.1 E   990   35    40  JMA: 18.3N/131.0E
06 OCT 04 0000  18.3 N  130.6 E   990   45    40  JMA: 19.0N/131.0E
06 OCT 04 0600  18.3 N  132.2 E   990   40    40  JMA: 19.4N/131.0E
06 OCT 04 1200  19.6 N  133.8 E   990   35    40  JMA: 20.3N/131.2E
06 OCT 04 1800  20.8 N  134.5 E   990   30    40  JMA: 21.7N/131.9E
06 OCT 05 0000  25.1 N  133.6 E   990   45    40  JMA: 24.5N/134.5E
06 OCT 05 0600  25.8 N  134.6 E   990   45    40
06 OCT 05 1200  26.5 N  136.1 E   990   45    40
06 OCT 05 1800  26.5 N  136.8 E   990   35    40  JMA: 27.5N/138.0E
06 OCT 06 0000  28.8 N  138.2 E   986   25    25

Note: At 06/0000 UTC a developing extratropical LOW was located at
32.0N/139.0E, or less than 200 nm north of the weakening Bebinca.  The
JMA bulletin at 06/0600 UTC did not mention the remnants of the former
tropical storm, so it is very likely Bebinca was absorbed into the
extratropical system.  The highest 10-min avg MSW estimated by PAGASA
during the time Tropical Storm Neneng was within that agency's AOR was
45 kts from 02/0000 through 04/0000 UTC.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: RUMBIA                Cyclone Number: 20W     Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None        JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0617

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

06 OCT 02 1800  18.5 N  152.5 E   998         30  JMA warnings
06 OCT 03 0000  19.4 N  154.5 E   998         30
06 OCT 03 0600  20.0 N  153.8 E   994         30
06 OCT 03 1200  20.6 N  154.0 E   992         35
06 OCT 03 1800  21.3 N  153.6 E   990         40
06 OCT 04 0000  21.9 N  153.3 E   990         45
06 OCT 04 0600  21.9 N  152.5 E   985         45
06 OCT 04 1200  22.0 N  152.2 E   985         45
06 OCT 04 1800  22.2 N  152.1 E   985   30    45
06 OCT 05 0000  22.4 N  151.8 E   985   30    45
06 OCT 05 0600  23.2 N  152.4 E   985   30    45  JTWC: 23.1N/151.5E
06 OCT 05 1200  23.6 N  152.0 E   985   35    45
06 OCT 05 1800  24.6 N  151.4 E   985   35    45
06 OCT 06 0000  26.7 N  151.8 E   990   25    40
06 OCT 06 0600  30.0 N  151.0 E   994         25

Note: All the center coordinates in the above table for this cyclone
were taken from JMA's warnings.  There were numerous ship reports and
QuikScat winds in the 40-45 kt range within the circulation of Rumbia,
so the intensity estimates of JMA (10-min avg MSW column) should be
considered more representative of the observed intensity.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: SOULIK                Cyclone Number: 21W     Basin: NEP
PAGASA Internal Name: None        JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0618

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

06 OCT 08 1200  13.0 N  160.0 E  1004         25  JMA bulletins
06 OCT 08 1800  14.0 N  158.0 E  1004         25
06 OCT 09 0000  14.3 N  157.8 E  1002   30    30  JMA: 14.9N/157.5E
06 OCT 09 0600  15.5 N  156.9 E  1002   30    30  JMA: 15.7N/156.4E
06 OCT 09 1200  16.3 N  155.7 E  1002   35    30
06 OCT 09 1800  17.3 N  154.4 E  1000   40    35
06 OCT 10 0000  17.9 N  153.3 E  1000   40    35
06 OCT 10 0600  18.5 N  152.3 E  1000   45    35
06 OCT 10 1200  19.0 N  150.6 E   994   55    40
06 OCT 10 1800  19.4 N  149.0 E   985   55    50
06 OCT 11 0000  20.2 N  146.6 E   985   55    50
06 OCT 11 0600  20.5 N  144.9 E   980   60    55
06 OCT 11 1200  20.9 N  143.6 E   975   60    60
06 OCT 11 1800  21.2 N  142.7 E   975   60    60
06 OCT 12 0000  21.8 N  141.7 E   975   60    60
06 OCT 12 0600  22.8 N  141.5 E   975   60    60
06 OCT 12 1200  23.4 N  141.1 E   970   65    65
06 OCT 12 1800  23.5 N  140.7 E   970   70    65
06 OCT 13 0000  23.8 N  140.5 E   970   75    65
06 OCT 13 0600  23.8 N  141.0 E   960   90    70
06 OCT 13 1200  23.9 N  141.0 E   960   90    70
06 OCT 13 1800  24.1 N  141.0 E   960   90    70
06 OCT 14 0000  24.4 N  141.1 E   960   90    70
06 OCT 14 0600  24.8 N  140.9 E   955   90    75  Just west of Iwo Jima
06 OCT 14 1200  25.5 N  141.0 E   960   80    75
06 OCT 14 1800  26.4 N  141.1 E   960   75    75
06 OCT 15 0000  27.6 N  141.6 E   965   75    70
06 OCT 15 0600  29.0 N  142.4 E   965   65    70
06 OCT 15 1200  30.5 N  144.0 E   965   60    70
06 OCT 15 1800  32.3 N  146.5 E   970   50    65
06 OCT 16 0000  33.5 N  149.0 E   975         55  JMA warnings
06 OCT 16 0600  36.0 N  152.6 E   975         55
06 OCT 16 1200  37.0 N  157.0 E   984         50  Extratropical
06 OCT 16 1800  39.0 N  162.0 E   982         55
06 OCT 17 0000  39.0 N  166.0 E   988         55
06 OCT 17 0600  40.0 N  173.0 E   990         55
06 OCT 17 1200  39.0 N  176.0 E  1000         45
06 OCT 17 1800  40.0 N  179.0 W  1004         35

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: CIMARON               Cyclone Number: 22W     Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: PAENG       JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0619

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

06 OCT 26 0600  12.0 N  136.0 E  1006         25  JMA bulletins
06 OCT 26 1200  11.9 N  134.9 E  1006         30
06 OCT 26 1800  12.6 N  133.6 E  1004   30    30
06 OCT 27 0000  12.8 N  132.3 E  1004   35    30
06 OCT 27 0600  12.8 N  130.9 E  1000   35    35
06 OCT 27 1200  13.3 N  130.2 E   992   50    45  See Note
06 OCT 27 1800  14.0 N  129.1 E   985   70    55
06 OCT 28 0000  14.3 N  128.2 E   985   75    55
06 OCT 28 0600  14.9 N  127.2 E   975   85    65
06 OCT 28 1200  15.3 N  126.3 E   965  100    70
06 OCT 28 1800  15.7 N  125.6 E   950  120    80
06 OCT 29 0000  16.0 N  124.6 E   920  145   100
06 OCT 29 0600  16.3 N  123.5 E   910  155   105
06 OCT 29 1200  16.5 N  122.5 E   910  155   105
06 OCT 29 1800  16.8 N  121.3 E   935  115    95  Inland in Luzon
06 OCT 30 0000  16.9 N  120.1 E   950   95    80  In South China Sea
06 OCT 30 0600  17.0 N  118.8 E   950   90    80
06 OCT 30 1200  16.9 N  118.2 E   950   90    80
06 OCT 30 1800  17.0 N  118.0 E   950   90    80
06 OCT 31 0000  17.7 N  117.3 E   950   90    80
06 OCT 31 0600  17.9 N  116.8 E   950   90    80
06 OCT 31 1200  18.3 N  116.6 E   950   85    80
06 OCT 31 1800  18.5 N  116.4 E   950   95    80
06 NOV 01 0000  18.7 N  116.0 E   950  100    80
06 NOV 01 0600  19.0 N  116.3 E   945  110    85
06 NOV 01 1200  19.1 N  116.3 E   940  105    90
06 NOV 01 1800  19.1 N  116.4 E   940   95    90
06 NOV 02 0000  19.1 N  116.6 E   945   95    85
06 NOV 02 0600  19.0 N  116.6 E   955   85    75
06 NOV 02 1200  18.7 N  116.5 E   965   75    65
06 NOV 02 1800  18.1 N  116.2 E   975   55    55  JMA: 18.6N/116.5E
06 NOV 03 0000  17.7 N  116.5 E   975   50    55
06 NOV 03 0600  17.3 N  116.5 E   980   45    55
06 NOV 03 1200  17.0 N  116.0 E   985   35    50
06 NOV 03 1800  16.8 N  116.1 E   990   30    45
06 NOV 04 0000  16.6 N  115.9 E   994   25    40  JMA: 16.0N/115.8E
06 NOV 04 0600  16.1 N  115.8 E   994   25    40  JMA: 15.8N/115.8E
06 NOV 04 1200  15.8 N  115.6 E   996   25    35
06 NOV 04 1800  15.7 N  115.5 E   996         35  JMA warnings
06 NOV 05 0000  15.5 N  115.2 E  1000         35
06 NOV 05 0600  15.3 N  114.7 E  1000         35
06 NOV 05 1200  15.1 N  114.5 E  1000         35
06 NOV 05 1800  14.2 N  114.2 E  1000         35
06 NOV 06 0000  14.0 N  114.0 E  1002         30
06 NOV 06 0600  14.0 N  113.0 E  1004         25
06 NOV 06 1200  13.0 N  115.0 E  1008         20
06 NOV 06 1800  11.0 N  115.0 E  1008         20

Note: The highest 10-min avg MSW estimated by PAGASA during the time that
Typhoon Paeng was within that agency's AOR was 105 kts from 29/0600
through 29/1200 UTC.  I have departed from my long-standing practice of
utilizing JTWC's 1-min avg MSW for a portion of Cimaron's history.  From
27/1200 through 29/1200 UTC the MSW values given above are taken from
a private analysis performed by Dr. Karl Hoarau.  The peak intensity of
155 kts is supported by Dvorak ratings of T7.5/7.5 from both AFWA and
SAB, plus the opinion of the SAB analyst that Cimaron's Data-T number
reached T8.0 based on the visual technique.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea

                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
  values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
  Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
  located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.   Occasionally some information may
  have been gleaned from the daily tropical weather outlooks and other
  bulletins issued by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), which
  is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
  ological Centre for the basin.
 
     The reported maximum sustained winds are based on a 1-minute
  averaging period, which is used by all U. S. civilian and military
  weather services for tropical cyclone warnings.     For synoptic
  observations in the North Indian Ocean region, both 10-minute and
  3-minute average winds are employed, but IMD makes no attempt to
  modify the Dvorak scale for estimating tropical cyclone intensity;
  hence, a 1-minute average MSW is implied.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Cyclonic Storm OGNI (BOB0602)                       28 - 30 Oct
                                                     
*************************************************************************

Storm Name: OGNI                  Cyclone Number: None    Basin: NIO
IMD Cyclonic Storm Number: BOB0602

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

06 OCT 28 1130  11.7 N   79.9 E         25        JTWC & AFWA sat bull
06 OCT 28 1730  13.0 N   80.1 E         25                 
06 OCT 28 2330  13.6 N   80.3 E         25                 
06 OCT 29 0230  14.4 N   80.4 E         30        SAB satellite bulletins
06 OCT 29 0830  15.2 N   80.4 E         35                 
06 OCT 29 1430  15.3 N   80.4 E         45                 
06 OCT 29 2030  15.5 N   80.5 E         45                 
06 OCT 30 0230  15.6 N   80.3 E         40                 
06 OCT 30 0830  16.0 N   80.4 E         35        Inland
06 OCT 30 1130  16.0 N   79.8 E         30        JTWC satellite bulletin

Note: IMD upgraded this system to Cyclonic Storm Ogni at 29/1200 UTC.
Since the IMD warnings I received were sporadic and usually only gave
the center position to the nearest half degree, I elected to use SAB's 
satellite bulletins for the main portion of Ogni's history since that 
agency's intensity estimates supported tropical storm intensity.  I did
utilize a blend of JTWC's and AFWA's satellite bulletins for the first
three data points as I did not have SAB's bulletins saved before 0230 UTC
on 29 October.  The intensity estimates from JTWC and AFWA did not
support tropical storm intensity, although JTWC did issue a TCFA.  A
radar image gleaned from IMD's website depicts a well-organized system 
very likely of tropical storm intensity.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion
  Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional
  Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin.  The 1-minute average
  maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the
  Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
  located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.  The center position coordinates from
  JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the
  Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
  or more.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Disturbance (MFR-01)                       18 - 23 Oct

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: None    Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 01

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

06 OCT 18 0000   4.4 S   62.7 E         25        AFWA satellite bulletin
06 OCT 18 0600   4.2 S   61.6 E         25        AFWA & JTWC sat bull
06 OCT 18 1200   4.3 S   60.6 E         30                 "
06 OCT 18 1800   4.3 S   60.1 E         30                 "
06 OCT 19 0000   4.5 S   59.7 E         30        JTWC satellite bulletin
06 OCT 19 0600   2.9 S   59.1 E  1004   30    25  Locally 30 kts to S
06 OCT 19 1200   2.8 S   59.5 E  1004   30    25           "
06 OCT 19 1800   3.3 S   59.8 E         30        JTWC satellite bulletin
06 OCT 20 0000   3.7 S   59.5 E         30                 "
06 OCT 20 0600   3.3 S   60.2 E         30        AFWA & JTWC sat bull
06 OCT 20 1200   3.6 S   60.6 E  1004   30    25  Locally 30 kts to S
06 OCT 20 1800   3.6 S   60.3 E         30        AFWA satellite bulletin
06 OCT 21 0000   4.9 S   60.3 E         30        AFWA & JTWC sat bull
06 OCT 21 0600   6.3 S   58.2 E  1004   30    25  Locally 30 kts to S
06 OCT 21 1200   7.4 S   57.4 E         30        AFWA & JTWC sat bull
06 OCT 21 1800   8.3 S   57.0 E         30                 "
06 OCT 22 0000   9.1 S   56.8 E         30                 "
06 OCT 22 0600   9.5 S   55.6 E         30                 "
06 OCT 22 1200   9.7 S   54.6 E  1002   30    25  Locally 30 kts to S
06 OCT 22 1800  10.3 S   53.3 E  1003   30    25           "
06 OCT 23 0000   9.7 S   53.0 E  1004   25    25           "
06 OCT 23 0600   9.3 S   51.4 E  1005   25    20  Locally 25-30 kts to S
06 OCT 23 1200   9.2 S   50.3 E  1006   25    20           "

Note: As MFR issued only very sporadic bulletins on this system for most
of its history, I utilized satellite bulletins from both JTWC and AFWA
to fill in the gaps and to provide an estimate of the 1-min avg MSW.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and
  Wellington, New Zealand.  The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
  estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning
  Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor,
  Hawaii.  The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with
  those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the
  Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
  or more.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Cyclone XAVIER (01F / 01P)                 20 - 28 Oct

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: XAVIER                Cyclone Number: 01P     Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 01F

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

06 OCT 20 2100   9.9 S  167.8 E  1005         20
06 OCT 21 0000   9.9 S  167.8 E  1005   25    20  JTWC & AFWA sat bull
06 OCT 21 0600   9.9 S  169.0 E  1006   25    20  JTWC: 9.8S/168.3E
06 OCT 21 1200  10.4 S  168.4 E  1006   30    25  JTWC & AFWA sat bull
06 OCT 21 1800  11.9 S  168.3 E  1006   30    25  JTWC: 10.8S/167.9E
06 OCT 21 2100  10.9 S  168.9 E  1004         25
06 OCT 22 0000  11.0 S  167.8 E   995   45    35
06 OCT 22 0600  11.0 S  167.2 E   985         50
06 OCT 22 1200  10.9 S  167.3 E   980   50    55
06 OCT 22 1800  11.0 S  167.8 E   970         65
06 OCT 23 0000  11.5 S  168.0 E   960   80    75
06 OCT 23 0600  12.2 S  168.2 E   955         80
06 OCT 23 1200  12.5 S  168.5 E   950   85    80
06 OCT 23 1800  12.7 S  168.6 E   945         85
06 OCT 24 0000  13.1 S  169.0 E   935  115    90
06 OCT 24 0600  13.7 S  169.6 E   930         95
06 OCT 24 1200  14.4 S  170.1 E   930  115    95
06 OCT 24 1800  15.0 S  171.0 E   930         95
06 OCT 25 0000  15.6 S  171.7 E   945   75    85
06 OCT 25 0600  16.2 S  172.1 E   960         75
06 OCT 25 1200  16.0 S  171.9 E   975   65    60
06 OCT 25 1800  16.0 S  171.0 E   987         45
06 OCT 25 2100  15.0 S  170.7 E   995         35
06 OCT 26 0000  14.8 S  170.3 E   997   30    30  Peripheral gales to S
06 OCT 26 0600  14.0 S  169.5 E  1000         30           "
06 OCT 26 1800  13.0 S  168.8 E  1000         30  No gales mentioned
06 OCT 27 0600  11.4 S  167.0 E  1007         25
06 OCT 27 1800  10.5 S  166.0 E  1007         20
06 OCT 28 0600   9.5 S  165.5 E  1005         20

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

             !!!!!!  IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ  !!!!!!

     To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note
  at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks
  I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/
  advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone
  warning agencies around the world.   Users of these tracks should
  be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during
  post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and
  analysts at the several warning centers.

     For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical
  cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of
  the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center:

     http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>

     The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their
  Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best
  tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the
  North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere:

     http://199.10.200.33/jtwc.html>


  SPECIAL NOTE:  Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries
  and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following
  websites:

    ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/>
    http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/>
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph>
    http://mpittweather.com>
    http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/>


  PREPARED BY:

  Gary Padgett              garyp@alaweb.com


  SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY:

  Michael V. Padua          michaelpadua@hotmail.com 
                            webmaster@typhoon2000.ph

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

Document: trak0610.htm
Updated: 6th February 2007

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