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Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks January 2005
[Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett]

              GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - JANUARY 2005


          !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!!

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NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
  values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
  Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
  located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.  The central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained
  from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which
  is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
  ological Centre for the basin.  In a few instances, information from
  warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized.
  The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com-
  pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column
  when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more.

     Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the
  Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings
  issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines'
  Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration
  (PAGASA).  Also, Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sends me
  each month a table comparing the maximum intensities assigned to each
  cyclone from all the applicable warning centers in the Northwest
  Pacific basin.  A very special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for
  the assistance they so reliably provide.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Storm KULAP (01W / 0501)                   13 - 19 Jan

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: KULAP                 Cyclone Number: 01W     Basin: NWP
PAGASA Internal Name: None        JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0501

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

05 JAN 13 1800   5.8 N  150.7 E         25
05 JAN 14 0000   6.0 N  150.2 E  1004   25    30
05 JAN 14 0600   5.7 N  148.0 E  1002   30    30
05 JAN 14 1200   6.0 N  147.1 E  1000   30    30
05 JAN 14 1800   6.5 N  147.1 E   998   35    30  JMA: 7.0N/147.8E
05 JAN 15 0000   7.5 N  146.3 E   998   35    30
05 JAN 15 0600   7.8 N  147.4 E   998   40    30
05 JAN 15 1200   9.0 N  147.4 E   996   45    35  JMA: 9.5N/146.6E
05 JAN 15 1800  10.4 N  146.9 E   994   45    40  JMA: 11.2N/146.9E
05 JAN 16 0000  11.5 N  147.0 E   994   45    40
05 JAN 16 0600  12.4 N  146.8 E   992   45    40
05 JAN 16 1200  13.1 N  146.9 E   992   45    40  JMA: 13.2N/145.8E
05 JAN 16 1800  13.5 N  146.9 E   990   50    45
05 JAN 17 0000  14.3 N  147.9 E   990   45    45  JMA: 14.1N/147.2E
05 JAN 17 0600  15.1 N  148.8 E   990   55    45
05 JAN 17 1200  15.7 N  149.9 E   990   55    45
05 JAN 17 1800  16.2 N  150.6 E   985   60    50
05 JAN 18 0000  16.7 N  151.5 E   985   60    50
05 JAN 18 0600  17.3 N  152.7 E   985   60    50
05 JAN 18 1200  17.9 N  153.7 E   985   60    50
05 JAN 18 1800  19.0 N  155.8 E   990   45    45
05 JAN 19 0000  18.4 N  154.4 E  1000         35  JMA warnings
05 JAN 19 0600  19.0 N  155.0 E  1002         25  Extratropical

Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled and sent by
Huang Chunliang:

============================================================
== Severe Tropical Storm 01W/KULAP/0501 (Jan 13-19, 2005) ==
============================================================

TCWC       Storm ID                              PEAK MSW (kt)
--------------------------------------------------------------
JTWC       Tropical Storm 01W (KULAP)            60
JMA        Typhoon 0501 (KULAP)                  50
NMCC       Severe Tropical Storm 0501 (KULAP)    50
HKO        Severe Tropical Storm KULAP (0501)    --*
CWB        Weak Typhoon 0501 (KULAP)             50

Note 1: In the title line the storm grade was adopted based on the 
classification of the most "radical" TCWC.  Also, all the storm names/
numbers available to me have been referenced.  In addition, the starting
date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD
status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when
the storm was finally classified as a tropical system by whatever TCWC.

Note 2 (*): HKO never issued any real-time warnings on this storm, which 
remained outside their AOR throughout its life.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea

                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
  values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the
  Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
  located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.   Occasionally some information may
  have been gleaned from the daily tropical weather outlooks and other
  bulletins issued by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), which
  is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor-
  ological Centre for the basin.
 
     The reported maximum sustained winds are based on a 1-minute
  averaging period, which is used by all U. S. civilian and military
  weather services for tropical cyclone warnings.     For synoptic
  observations in the North Indian Ocean region, both 10-minute and
  3-minute average winds are employed, but IMD makes no attempt to
  modify the Dvorak scale for estimating tropical cyclone intensity;
  hence, a 1-minute average MSW is implied.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Cyclone (01B)                              08 - 10 Jan
   Cyclonic Storm HIBARU (02B / BOB0501)               13 - 17 Jan

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: 01B     Basin: NIO
IMD Cyclonic Storm Number: None

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

05 JAN 08 1800   5.2 N   83.5 E         25
05 JAN 09 0000   5.5 N   83.1 E         25
05 JAN 09 0600   6.1 N   83.4 E         25
05 JAN 09 1200   6.4 N   83.5 E         25
05 JAN 09 1800   6.4 N   83.5 E         25
05 JAN 10 0000   6.5 N   83.2 E         25
05 JAN 10 0600   6.8 N   83.2 E         20

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: HIBARU                Cyclone Number: 02B     Basin: NIO
IMD Cyclonic Storm Number: BOB0501

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

05 JAN 13 1200   5.5 N   87.0 E         25        IMD bulletins
05 JAN 14 0300   5.5 N   87.0 E         30
05 JAN 14 1200   5.5 N   87.0 E         30
05 JAN 14 1800   5.0 N   87.1 E         35
05 JAN 15 0000   5.2 N   86.6 E         35
05 JAN 15 0600   5.1 N   86.4 E         35
05 JAN 15 1200   4.9 N   86.5 E         35
05 JAN 15 1800   4.6 N   86.4 E         35        IMD: 5.5N/87.0E
05 JAN 16 0000   4.4 N   86.2 E         35        IMD: 5.5N/87.0E
05 JAN 16 0600   4.2 N   86.3 E         35
05 JAN 16 1200   4.5 N   86.2 E         35        IMD: 5.5N/86.5E
05 JAN 16 1800   5.1 N   85.6 E         30
05 JAN 17 0000   4.7 N   85.2 E         25
05 JAN 17 0300   5.0 N   86.0 E         30        IMD bulletins
05 JAN 17 1200   5.0 N   86.0 E         25

Note: IMD's assessment of Hibaru's peak intensity was also 35 kts.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion
  Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional
  Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin.  The 1-minute average
  maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the
  Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy,
  located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.  The center position coordinates from
  JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the
  Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
  or more.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Disturbance (MFR-07)                       04 - 05 Jan
   Intense Tropical Cyclone ERNEST (MFR-08 / 12S)      17 - 25 Jan
   Tropical Storm DAREN (MFR-09 / 11S)                 17 - 22 Jan
   Tropical Storm FELAPI (MFR-11)                      26 Jan - 02 Feb

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: None    Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 07

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

05 JAN 04 0600  20.4 S   40.7 E  1000         25
05 JAN 04 1200  21.0 S   41.4 E  1000         25  Locally 30 kts E quads
05 JAN 04 1800  21.8 S   42.8 E   998         30
05 JAN 05 0000  23.0 S   44.5 E               25  Inland
05 JAN 05 0600  23.9 S   46.8 E               20

Note: No CP value was given in the last two bulletins.  The MSW of 20 kts
at 05/0600 UTC is estimated.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: ERNEST                Cyclone Number: 12S     Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 08

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

05 JAN 17 0600   9.6 S   57.6 E  1000         25
05 JAN 17 1200   9.5 S   56.8 E  1005         25
05 JAN 19 0600   9.5 S   48.0 E  1005         20  Bulletins re-initiated
05 JAN 19 1200  11.1 S   49.3 E  1004         25
05 JAN 19 1800  12.4 S   47.9 E  1004         25
05 JAN 20 0000  12.3 S   46.5 E  1002         25
05 JAN 20 0600  12.7 S   45.4 E   993   45    40
05 JAN 20 1200  13.5 S   44.1 E   985         50
05 JAN 20 1800  14.1 S   43.3 E   970   65    65
05 JAN 21 0000  15.0 S   42.7 E   970         65
05 JAN 21 0600  16.2 S   42.0 E   970   65    65
05 JAN 21 1200  16.9 S   41.7 E   970         65
05 JAN 21 1800  18.0 S   41.9 E   963   90    70
05 JAN 22 0000  19.6 S   42.0 E   955         80
05 JAN 22 0600  20.6 S   41.9 E   940  100    90
05 JAN 22 1200  21.9 S   42.1 E   940         90
05 JAN 22 1800  23.0 S   42.4 E   941  100    90
05 JAN 23 0000  23.9 S   42.5 E   950         80
05 JAN 23 0600  24.5 S   43.5 E   955   90    75
05 JAN 23 1200  25.6 S   44.9 E   965         70  Near S tip Madagascar
05 JAN 23 1800  27.3 S   46.4 E   980   60    55
05 JAN 24 0000  28.3 S   47.9 E   985         50
05 JAN 24 0600  29.0 S   49.3 E   987         50
05 JAN 24 1200  31.1 S   52.7 E   988         50  Extratropical
05 JAN 24 1800  32.5 S   56.0 E   988         65
05 JAN 25 0000  35.5 S   61.0 E   990         65

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: DAREN                 Cyclone Number: 11S     Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 09

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

05 JAN 17 1200   9.3 S   84.8 E  1004         25
05 JAN 17 1800   9.8 S   83.5 E  1001         25  Locally 30 kts S quads
05 JAN 18 0000  10.2 S   83.6 E  1000   35    25  JTWC: 11.6S/82.8E
05 JAN 18 0600  11.2 S   83.4 E  1002   35    25
05 JAN 18 1200  11.4 S   82.3 E  1001         25
05 JAN 18 1800  11.3 S   81.0 E  1001   45    25  JTWC: 12.4S/80.9E
05 JAN 19 0000  12.1 S   79.7 E  1000         25
05 JAN 19 0600  13.3 S   76.9 E   997   40    30
05 JAN 19 1200  14.1 S   75.5 E   990         40
05 JAN 19 1800  15.3 S   73.8 E   990   40    40
05 JAN 20 0000  16.3 S   72.7 E   988         40
05 JAN 20 0600  15.8 S   71.8 E   988   35    40
05 JAN 20 1200  16.0 S   70.5 E   990         40
05 JAN 20 1800  16.2 S   69.0 E   995   25    35
05 JAN 21 0000  16.4 S   67.8 E   997         30
05 JAN 21 0600  16.8 S   66.4 E   998         30
05 JAN 21 1200  16.9 S   64.8 E   998         30
05 JAN 21 1800  17.0 S   62.8 E  1001         25  Locally 30 kts S quads
05 JAN 22 0000  17.1 S   61.3 E  1001         25
05 JAN 22 0600  17.4 S   59.3 E  1006         25
05 JAN 22 1200  17.5 S   57.9 E  1007         25
                                
*************************************************************************

Storm Name: FELAPI                Cyclone Number: None    Basin: SWI
MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 11

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

05 JAN 26 1200  20.5 S   40.5 E  1004         20  Locally 25 kts
05 JAN 27 0000  22.0 S   40.8 E  1001         25
05 JAN 27 0600  22.0 S   41.0 E   998         30
05 JAN 27 1200  22.1 S   41.3 E   998         30
05 JAN 27 1800  22.1 S   42.0 E   996         35
05 JAN 28 0000  22.4 S   42.9 E   995         35
05 JAN 28 0600  23.4 S   43.4 E   995         35
05 JAN 28 1200  24.0 S   44.0 E   997         30  Inland in Madagascar
05 JAN 28 1800  24.8 S   44.5 E  1001         25
05 JAN 29 0600  26.1 S   45.8 E  1000         25  Over water
05 JAN 29 1200  26.3 S   46.5 E  1000         25  Locally 30 kts S quads
05 JAN 29 1800  26.1 S   46.7 E   999         25
05 JAN 30 0000  25.6 S   47.6 E   998         25
05 JAN 30 1200  23.5 S   49.0 E   999         25  Relocated
05 JAN 30 1800  22.7 S   50.8 E   999         25
05 JAN 31 0000  23.0 S   50.8 E   996         30
05 JAN 31 0600  22.0 S   50.5 E  1000         25
05 JAN 31 1200  23.1 S   50.7 E  1000         25
05 FEB 01 1200  27.0 S   49.5 E   999         35  Subtropical depression
05 FEB 01 1800  27.8 S   49.8 E   999         30
05 FEB 02 0000  28.7 S   49.7 E  1000         30
05 FEB 02 0600  29.1 S   50.0 E  1000         30
05 FEB 02 1200  29.8 S   50.4 E  1000         30
05 FEB 02 1800  30.9 S   51.5 E  1000         30

Note: No warnings were issued on this system by JTWC.  Satellite classi-
fication bulletins from SAB support a system of minimal tropical storm
intensity.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Perth, Western
  Australia, and Darwin, Northern Territory.    The 1-minute average
  maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by
  the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and
  Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.  The center position coordinates
  from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and
  annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general
  amounted to 40-50 nm or more.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Cyclone RAYMOND (07S)                      31 Dec - 03 Jan
   Tropical Cyclone SALLY (09S)                        07 - 10 Jan
   Tropical LOW (10S)                                  13 - 19 Jan
   Tropical Cyclone TIM (13S)                          23 - 26 Jan

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: RAYMOND               Cyclone Number: 07S     Basin: AUW
(Name assigned by the Perth TCWC)

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

04 DEC 31 0400  14.4 S  121.4 E  1003         30
04 DEC 31 1000  14.8 S  121.3 E  1002         30
04 DEC 31 1600  15.0 S  121.2 E   998   35    30  JTWC-18Z: 15.6S/120.6E
04 DEC 31 2200  15.0 S  121.2 E   998         30
05 JAN 01 0400  14.3 S  121.6 E   998   35    30
05 JAN 01 1000  14.6 S  122.1 E   999         30
05 JAN 01 1600  14.6 S  122.6 E   999   35    30
05 JAN 01 2200  14.6 S  123.0 E   999         30
05 JAN 02 0400  14.0 S  123.6 E   990   50    45
05 JAN 02 1000  14.0 S  124.3 E   990         45
05 JAN 02 1600  14.4 S  126.5 E   995   45    30  Inland - See note
05 JAN 03 0100  15.3 S  129.3 E               25
05 JAN 03 0600  17.5 S  126.7 E         30        Final JTWC warning

Note: The JTWC position for 02/1800 UTC was 15.2S/124.3E, over 2 degrees
west of the relocated Perth position at 02/1600 UTC.   The final Perth
warning at 02/1600 UTC stated that Raymond was moving east at 15 kts,
which is reflected in the 03/0100 UTC position.   It appears almost
certain that the two agencies were not tracking the same entity.  The
final JTWC warning states that Raymond's remnants were tracking south-
eastward at 16 kts.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: SALLY                 Cyclone Number: 09S     Basin: AUW
(Name assigned by the Perth TCWC)

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

05 JAN 07 0400  11.6 S  100.5 E  1004         30
05 JAN 07 1000  12.4 S  100.7 E  1002         30
05 JAN 07 1600  12.6 S  101.1 E  1001         30
05 JAN 07 2200  13.7 S  101.0 E  1000         30
05 JAN 08 0400  13.7 S  100.3 E   990   35    45
05 JAN 08 1000  13.8 S  100.0 E   990         40
05 JAN 08 1600  13.9 S   99.8 E   990   40    40
05 JAN 08 2200  14.4 S   99.4 E   995         35
05 JAN 09 0400  14.7 S   99.0 E   990   40    40
05 JAN 09 1000  15.2 S   98.7 E   988         45
05 JAN 09 1600  15.6 S   98.1 E   990   35    45
05 JAN 09 2200  15.9 S   97.5 E   994         35
05 JAN 10 0100  16.2 S   96.9 E   998         30
05 JAN 10 0400  16.5 S   96.3 E  1002   20    30  JTWC-06Z: 16.4S/99.1E
                    
*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: 10S     Basin: AUW


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

05 JAN 13 2200  14.0 S  123.0 3  1000         25
05 JAN 14 0400  13.3 S  123.0 E  1002         25
05 JAN 15 0000  14.0 S  120.1 E  1001         30  Perip. gales SW quad
05 JAN 15 0400  14.1 S  119.3 E  1000         30
05 JAN 15 1000  14.0 S  118.1 E  1000         30
05 JAN 15 1600  14.0 S  116.8 E  1000   35    30  JTWC-18Z: 15.4S/116.5E
05 JAN 15 2200  14.0 S  116.0 E   998         30
05 JAN 16 0400  14.0 S  114.8 E   998   35    30  JTWC-06Z: 15.7S/113.6E
05 JAN 16 1000  14.5 S  113.2 E   998         30
05 JAN 16 1600  14.8 S  112.0 E   998   30    30  JTWC-18Z: 15.7S/111.4E
05 JAN 16 2200  14.8 S  110.5 E  1000         30
05 JAN 17 0000  15.0 S  109.8 E  1000         25
05 JAN 17 0400  15.0 S  109.0 E  1000   25    25  JTWC-06Z: 15.5S/107.3E
05 JAN 18 0400  14.0 S  102.8 E  1004         20
05 JAN 19 0400  14.4 S   96.2 E  1004         20

Note: The BoM Perth warnings indicated the presence of gales well-
removed from the center in the southwestern quadrant.  The WMO Region V
definition of a tropical depression (or LOW) allows for the presence of
gales if they are not occurring near the center.

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: TIM                   Cyclone Number: 13S     Basin: AUW
(Name assigned by the Perth TCWC)

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

05 JAN 23 0900  15.0 S  110.2 E   995         30
05 JAN 23 1300  15.3 S  109.9 E   990         40
05 JAN 23 1600  15.5 S  109.7 E   990   35    40
05 JAN 23 2200  15.7 S  109.0 E   988         45
05 JAN 24 0400  15.8 S  108.4 E   988   35    45
05 JAN 24 1000  16.0 S  107.7 E   990         40
05 JAN 24 1600  16.3 S  106.6 E   990   35    40
05 JAN 24 2200  16.4 S  105.7 E   992         40
05 JAN 25 0400  16.4 S  104.5 E   992   30    40  JTWC-06Z: 16.5S/103.7E
05 JAN 25 1000  16.8 S  103.6 E   998         30
05 JAN 26 0200  16.6 S   98.8 E               25

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - Longitude 135E to 160E


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Darwin, Northern
  Territory; Brisbane, Queensland; and Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea.
  The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from
  warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S.
  Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii.    The center
  position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the
  Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the
  differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical LOW                                        19 - 25 Jan

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: None                  Cyclone Number: None    Basin: AUE


   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

05 JAN 19 0600  13.0 S  143.2 E  1003         25  Over land - See note
05 JAN 19 1200  13.0 S  143.5 E  1005         25
05 JAN 19 1800  13.6 S  142.6 E  1000         25
05 JAN 20 0000  13.2 S  142.6 E  1004         25
05 JAN 20 0600  13.4 S  142.6 E  1004         25
05 JAN 20 1200  13.7 S  142.5 E  1005         25
05 JAN 20 1800  13.7 S  142.5 E  1002         25
05 JAN 21 0000  14.3 S  142.6 E  1004         25
05 JAN 23 1600  18.5 S  147.0 E   999         40  Over water
05 JAN 24 0000  19.0 S  147.7 E   998         40
05 JAN 24 0600  19.5 S  150.5 E  1000         40
05 JAN 24 1200  19.0 S  148.5 E  1002         40
05 JAN 24 1800  18.6 S  147.5 E   998         40
05 JAN 25 0000  19.0 S  148.0 E   998         40
05 JAN 25 0600  19.0 S  148.0 E   998         40
05 JAN 25 1200  18.5 S  148.0 E  1000         40
05 JAN 25 1800  18.0 S  148.0 E   997         30
       
Note: From 19/0600 through 21/0000 UTC the center of this LOW was located
inland over the Cape York Peninsula.  The MSW values given above are
estimates, based on the fact that the LOW was located over land.  Even
though the LOW appeared better-organized on 21 January, it was moving
southward over land and was not forecast at the time to move over the
ocean, so tropical cyclone advices were discontinued.  According to Jeff
Callaghan, the center moved down the peninsula, reaching a point near
Georgetown (18.3S/143.6E) where it became elongated toward the East
Coast.  The large band of heavy rain near Townsville was in a area of
backing winds with height (warm-air advection) and this was where a new
center formed.  During the overwater portion of the system's history
(23-25 January), gales were forecast to be occurring but not near the
center in the manner of a true tropical cyclone.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E


                        Sources of Information
                        ----------------------

     The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute
  average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings
  issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and
  Wellington, New Zealand.  The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind
  estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning
  Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor,
  Hawaii.  The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with
  those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the
  Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm
  or more.


                            Systems Tracked
                            ---------------

   Tropical Cyclone KERRY (05F / 08P)                  03 - 15 Jan
   Tropical Cyclone LOLA (06F)                         26 Jan - 02 Feb

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: KERRY                 Cyclone Number: 08P     Basin: SPA/AUE
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 05F

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

05 JAN 03 0600   8.0 S  176.0 E  1002         20
05 JAN 03 2100   9.5 S  175.5 E  1000         25
05 JAN 04 0600   9.5 S  175.3 E  1000         25
05 JAN 04 1200  10.0 S  174.5 E  1000         30
05 JAN 04 1800  10.0 S  174.0 E  1000         30
05 JAN 05 0000  10.5 S  173.5 E   998   35    30
05 JAN 05 0600  11.7 S  172.9 E   998         30
05 JAN 05 1200  12.1 S  172.9 E   997   35    30
05 JAN 05 1800  13.3 S  171.5 E   995         40
05 JAN 06 0000  13.6 S  171.2 E   987   40    45
05 JAN 06 0600  14.6 S  170.3 E   987         45
05 JAN 06 1200  15.2 S  169.3 E   987   40    45
05 JAN 06 1800  15.7 S  168.4 E   990         40  Crossing Vanuatu
05 JAN 07 0000  16.4 S  166.7 E   990   35    40
05 JAN 07 0600  17.2 S  164.9 E   987         45
05 JAN 07 1200  17.8 S  163.6 E   985   50    50
05 JAN 07 1800  17.6 S  162.3 E   975         60
05 JAN 08 0000  18.0 S  161.0 E   970   75    65
05 JAN 08 0600  18.3 S  160.0 E   970         65
05 JAN 08 1200  18.5 S  159.6 E   970   75    65  Brisbane warnings
05 JAN 08 1800  18.4 S  159.6 E   970         65
05 JAN 09 0000  18.3 S  159.4 E   970   75    65
05 JAN 09 0600  18.3 S  159.4 E   970         65
05 JAN 09 1200  18.5 S  159.3 E   970   90    75
05 JAN 09 1800  18.3 S  159.3 E   960         75
05 JAN 10 0000  18.3 S  159.0 E   960   90    75
05 JAN 10 0600  18.6 S  159.0 E   960         75
05 JAN 10 1200  19.2 S  159.3 E   970   90    75
05 JAN 10 1800  19.5 S  159.5 E   970         65
05 JAN 11 0000  19.3 S  159.0 E   970   60    65
05 JAN 11 0600  20.0 S  159.4 E   975         60
05 JAN 11 1200  20.2 S  159.8 E   980   40    55
05 JAN 11 1800  20.3 S  159.8 E   980         55
05 JAN 12 0000  20.9 S  160.0 E   985   35    50
05 JAN 12 0600  21.3 S  160.3 E   987         45
05 JAN 12 1200  22.0 S  160.2 E   987         45
05 JAN 12 1800  22.1 S  160.3 E   987         45
05 JAN 13 0000  23.4 S  160.4 E   987         45
05 JAN 13 0600  23.6 S  159.9 E   987         45
05 JAN 13 1200  24.2 S  159.5 E   990         40
05 JAN 13 1800  24.5 S  159.3 E   995         35  Extratropical
05 JAN 14 0000  24.8 S  158.5 E   995         40
05 JAN 14 0600  25.5 S  158.0 E   995         40
05 JAN 14 1200  25.8 S  158.0 E   995         40
05 JAN 14 1800  26.3 S  157.6 E   995         40
05 JAN 15 0000  26.6 S  156.7 E   995         40
05 JAN 15 0600  26.9 S  156.6 E   995         40
05 JAN 15 1200  27.0 S  156.3 E  1006         30

*************************************************************************

Storm Name: LOLA                  Cyclone Number: None    Basin: SPA
Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 06F

   Date   Time   Lat      Lon    Cent  MSW   MSW        Remarks
          (GMT)                 Press 1-min 10-min
                                 (mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

05 JAN 26 0630  15.0 S  163.0 E  1000         20
05 JAN 27 0000  18.0 S  168.0 E  1001         20
05 JAN 27 0600  18.5 S  169.0 E  1000         20
05 JAN 28 2100  16.5 S  172.5 E   998         25
05 JAN 29 0900  17.0 S  174.0 E   998         25
05 JAN 29 2100  15.5 S  175.5 E   998         25
05 JAN 30 0600  16.1 S  178.4 E   997         30  Peripheral gales
05 JAN 30 1200  18.5 S  179.5 E   997         30
05 JAN 30 1800  18.0 S  179.0 W   993         30
05 JAN 31 0000  19.5 S  179.0 W   993         30
05 JAN 31 0600  20.6 S  177.9 W   993         30
05 JAN 31 1200  21.8 S  176.8 W   992         40
05 JAN 31 1800  22.7 S  176.5 W   990         40
05 FEB 01 0000  23.5 S  175.6 W   994         35
05 FEB 01 0600  24.5 S  175.2 W   994         35
05 FEB 01 1200  25.1 S  175.1 W   995         35  Wellington warnings
05 FEB 01 1800  25.1 S  174.5 W   995         35
05 FEB 02 0000  25.2 S  176.6 W   998         35  Extratropical
05 FEB 02 0600  25.0 S  176.0 W   998         35
05 FEB 02 1800  24.5 S  177.0 W   998         25

Note: No warnings were issued by JTWC on Tropical Cyclone Lola.

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

             !!!!!!  IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ  !!!!!!

     To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note
  at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks
  I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/
  advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone
  warning agencies around the world.   Users of these tracks should
  be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during
  post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and
  analysts at the several warning centers.

     For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical
  cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of
  the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center:

     http://www.nhc.noaa.gov>

     The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their
  Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best
  tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the
  North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere:

     http://199.10.200.33/jtwc.html>


  SPECIAL NOTE:  Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries
  and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following
  websites:

    ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/>
    http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/>
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph>
    http://mpittweather.com>
    http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/>


  PREPARED BY:

  Gary Padgett              [email protected]


  SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY:

  Michael V. Padua          [email protected] 
                            [email protected]

  Huang Chunliang           [email protected]

*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************
*************************************************************************

Document: trak0501.htm
Updated: 17th May, 2005

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