[Index]
Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks November 1999
[Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett]
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Cyclones
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Monthly Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks November 1999 [Summaries and Track Data] [Prepared by Gary Padgett] |
GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - NOVEMBER 1999
ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico
NOTE: The tracking and intensity information for Atlantic Basin
tropical cyclones is based upon operational advisories from
the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center,
located in Miami, Florida, USA. The MSW are based on a
1-min averaging period, which is used by all U.S. civilian
and military weather services for tropical cyclone warnings.
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Storm Name: LENNY Cyclone Number: 16 Basin: ATL
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
99 NOV 13 1800 16.8 N 81.7 W 1003 30
99 NOV 14 0000 16.1 N 81.0 W 1003 30
99 NOV 14 0600 15.9 N 80.2 W 1003 30
99 NOV 14 1200 15.9 N 79.9 W 1002 30
99 NOV 14 1800 16.4 N 79.4 W 988 60
99 NOV 15 0000 16.1 N 78.7 W 988 70
99 NOV 15 0600 15.5 N 77.7 W 971 85
99 NOV 15 1200 15.1 N 76.7 W 971 85
99 NOV 15 1800 14.9 N 74.9 W 984 75
99 NOV 16 0000 15.1 N 73.6 W 982 70
99 NOV 16 0600 15.2 N 72.3 W 971 85
99 NOV 16 1200 15.2 N 70.6 W 973 85
99 NOV 16 1800 15.5 N 68.9 W 965 100
99 NOV 17 0000 15.9 N 67.6 W 958 100
99 NOV 17 0600 16.4 N 66.5 W 950 110
99 NOV 17 1200 16.8 N 65.5 W 942 115
99 NOV 17 1800 17.4 N 64.8 W 934 130 20 nm S of St. Croix
99 NOV 18 0000 17.7 N 64.1 W 939 125
99 NOV 18 0600 17.7 N 63.9 W 947 125
99 NOV 18 1200 17.8 N 63.6 W 952 115
99 NOV 18 1800 18.0 N 63.3 W 966 105
99 NOV 19 0000 18.1 N 63.2 W 975 95 Over St. Martin
99 NOV 19 0600 18.0 N 62.9 W 982 85
99 NOV 19 1200 17.9 N 62.9 W 986 80 Near St. Barthlemy
99 NOV 19 1800 17.5 N 62.5 W 994 60
99 NOV 20 0000 17.3 N 61.9 W 995 60 Just NW of Antigua
99 NOV 20 0600 17.0 N 61.2 W 995 50
99 NOV 20 1200 16.1 N 59.9 W 996 50
99 NOV 20 1800 15.7 N 59.5 W 998 45
99 NOV 21 0000 15.6 N 59.2 W 998 40
99 NOV 21 0600 16.4 N 58.2 W 998 30
99 NOV 21 1200 17.2 N 57.0 W 1000 30
99 NOV 21 1800 18.0 N 56.5 W 1003 25
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Storm Name: Hybrid LOW Cyclone Number: None Basin: ATL
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
99 NOV 05 1800 32.4 N 25.2 W 1000 25 See Note
99 NOV 06 0815 32.8 N 26.0 W 999 30
99 NOV 06 1045 33.0 N 26.5 W 999 30
99 NOV 06 2200 33.5 N 28.0 W 999 30
99 NOV 07 0115 33.5 N 27.5 W 998 30
99 NOV 07 0815 34.0 N 27.0 W 1000 25
99 NOV 07 1015 34.6 N 26.5 W 1002 25
99 NOV 07 1445 35.7 N 26.5 W 1003 25
Note: This track was furnished to me by John Wallace of San Antonio,
Texas, based on his own analysis of available data and satellite
imagery. This LOW was mentioned in Tropical Weather Outlooks from
TPC/NHC on 6 and 7 Nov when for a time the system looked as if it might
be starting to develop some tropical characteristics.
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Storm Name: Hybrid Gale Center Cyclone Number: None Basin: ATL
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
99 NOV 24 0600 32.0 N 46.0 W 999 35
99 NOV 24 1200 31.0 N 43.0 W 999 35
99 NOV 24 1800 31.0 N 42.0 W 998 35
99 NOV 25 0000 31.0 N 43.0 W 997 35
99 NOV 25 0600 31.0 N 43.0 W 997 35
99 NOV 25 1200 30.0 N 43.0 W 998 40
99 NOV 25 1800 29.0 N 41.0 W 1005 40
99 NOV 26 0000 28.0 N 41.0 W 1008 40
99 NOV 26 1200 27.0 N 38.0 W 1007 40
99 NOV 26 1800 27.0 N 38.0 W 1007 40
99 NOV 27 0000 29.0 N 36.0 W 1005 35
99 NOV 27 0600 30.0 N 35.0 W 1002 40
99 NOV 27 1200 30.0 N 34.0 W 1004 40
99 NOV 27 1800 30.0 N 35.0 W 1004 40
99 NOV 28 0000 29.0 N 35.0 W 1004 40
99 NOV 28 0600 27.0 N 37.0 W 1005 40
99 NOV 28 1200 25.0 N 38.0 W 1005 40
99 NOV 28 1800 25.0 N 38.0 W 1005 40
99 NOV 29 0000 25.0 N 38.0 W 1005 40
99 NOV 29 0600 25.0 N 40.0 W 1005 40
99 NOV 29 1200 25.3 N 41.3 W 1008 35 See Note
99 NOV 29 1800 25.6 N 41.7 W 1008 40
99 NOV 30 0000 25.8 N 42.0 W 1008 35
99 NOV 30 0600 26.1 N 42.3 W 1008 35
99 NOV 30 1200 26.4 N 42.6 W 1007 35
99 NOV 30 1800 27.0 N 43.0 W 1007 35
99 DEC 01 0000 27.5 N 43.2 W 1007 35
99 DEC 01 0600 28.0 N 43.5 W 1007 35
99 DEC 01 1200 28.0 N 44.0 W 1007 35
99 DEC 01 1800 28.0 N 44.0 W 1009 35
99 DEC 02 0000 28.0 N 44.0 W 1007 35
99 DEC 02 0600 27.5 N 45.0 W 1008 30
99 DEC 02 1200 27.0 N 46.0 W 1008 30
99 DEC 02 1800 27.0 N 47.0 W 1008 30
99 DEC 03 0000 27.0 N 48.0 W 1010 30
Note: Most of this track was constructed from the High Seas Warnings
issued by the Marine Prediction Center and the Tropical Prediction
Center. The portion of the track from 1200 UTC on 29 Nov through
0000 UTC on 1 Dec was based primarily on information sent to me by
John Wallace. This gale center was mentioned in the Tropical Weather
Outlooks issued by TPC/NHC from 24-30 Nov. On 30 Nov, the last day of
the official Atlantic Hurricane Season, the system appeared to be
developing significant tropical characteristics, but this trend was
soon halted and the LOW began to slowly weaken.
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NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180
NOTE: The tracking information for Northwest Pacific Basin tropical
cyclones is based primarily upon operational warnings from the
Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U.S. Air Force and Navy at
Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Comparisons were made with track coordinates
given in advisories from the meteorological services of Japan
(JMA) and the Philippines (PAGASA). In general, whenever the
center position differed by more than 40-50 nm from JTWC's, an
entry was made in the Remarks column.
The 1-min avg MSW were taken from the JTWC advisories while the
10-min avg MSW were obtained from PAGASA's advisories if the
storm was in PAGASA's area of responsibility; otherwise, they
were gleaned from JMA's advisories or high seas forecasts. In
a few cases the 10-min MSW given by PAGASA and JMA did not agree;
in those cases I reported the higher value. The estimates of
central pressure were obtained from JMA's advisories.
Michael V. Padua, owner of the Typhoon '99 webpage sent me the
PAGASA and JMA tracks for these systems--a special thanks to
Michael for his assistance.
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Storm Name: Tropical Depression Cyclone Number: 28W Basin: NWP
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
99 NOV 05 0600 19.6 N 147.9 E 1004 30 JMA Warning
99 NOV 05 1200 18.6 N 145.9 E 1004 30 "
99 NOV 05 1800 18.1 N 146.2 E 1004 30 30 JMA: 18.6 N, 147.7 E
99 NOV 06 0000 18.2 N 146.1 E 1004 30 30 JMA: 19.5 N, 147.5 E
99 NOV 06 0600 17.7 N 145.6 E 30 See Note
99 NOV 06 1200 16.7 N 145.3 E 1002 25 30 JMA: 22.9 N, 149.5 E
99 NOV 06 1800 23.7 N 151.0 E 1000 30 JMA Warning - See Note
99 NOV 07 0000 25.7 N 151.6 E 1000 30 "
99 NOV 07 0600 26.0 N 151.0 E 1004 25 "
99 NOV 07 1200 27.0 N 153.0 E 1004 25 "
99 NOV 07 1800 28.0 N 155.0 E 1004 25 "
Note: This is most perplexing! Initially JMA was certainly tracking
the same LLCC as JTWC, but from 06/1200 UTC it appears that JMA was
following another LLCC. Since I don't have any JMA information at
0600 UTC and since, unfortunately, JMA doesn't have any numbering or
otherwise identification scheme for tropical depressions, I have no idea
exactly what lies behind this huge discrepancy. Since the 1200 UTC
warning was the last from JTWC, the coordinates from that point forward
represent whatever it was that JMA was tracking. Perhaps this wasn't
the best procedure to follow, but hopefully this explains it adequately.
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Storm Name: FRANKIE/SENDANG Cyclone Number: 29W Basin: NWP
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
99 NOV 06 0600 11.0 N 134.9 E 25
99 NOV 06 1200 11.6 N 132.9 E 30
99 NOV 06 1800 10.9 N 131.7 E 1002 25 30 PAGASA: 11.0 N, 134.0 E
99 NOV 07 0000 10.8 N 130.8 E 1002 25 30 PAGASA: 11.3 N, 133.3 E
99 NOV 07 0600 10.2 N 129.5 E 1000 25 30 PAGASA: 11.5 N, 129.7 E
99 NOV 07 1200 10.2 N 128.6 E 1000 25 30 PAGASA: 11.5 N, 127.6 E
99 NOV 07 1800 10.9 N 126.9 E 1000 25 30 PAGASA: 12.2 N, 125.5 E
99 NOV 08 0000 11.4 N 126.0 E 1000 30 40 PAGASA: 11.7 N, 125.7 E
99 NOV 08 0600 12.3 N 124.5 E 998 35 40 Over island of Samar
99 NOV 08 1200 12.5 N 122.5 E 994 35 40 PAGASA: 12.2 N, 123.5 E
99 NOV 08 1800 12.4 N 122.5 E 996 30 40 In Central Philippines
99 NOV 09 0000 12.1 N 122.7 E 30 30
99 NOV 09 0600 12.3 N 123.3 E 30 25
99 NOV 09 1200 12.6 N 123.4 E 25
99 NOV 09 1800 12.8 N 123.5 E 25
99 NOV 10 0000 12.8 N 123.6 E 20
Note: The 10-min avg MSW estimates for this system were all taken from
PAGASA warnings since JMA did not consider Frankie/Sendang to have
reached tropical storm intensity.
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Storm Name: GLORIA/TRINING (9922) Cyclone Number: 30W Basin: NWP
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
99 NOV 13 0600 14.3 N 131.3 E 25
99 NOV 13 1200 15.5 N 131.5 E 1002 30 30
99 NOV 13 1800 16.2 N 131.7 E 1000 30 30
99 NOV 14 0000 17.7 N 132.6 E 998 30 30 PAGASA: 17.8 N, 130.7 E
99 NOV 14 0600 18.5 N 130.4 E 996 40 35 JMA: 19.0 N, 130.9 E
99 NOV 14 1200 20.0 N 130.3 E 994 45 40
99 NOV 14 1800 21.0 N 130.5 E 985 45 45
99 NOV 15 0000 22.3 N 131.3 E 985 45 45
99 NOV 15 0600 24.0 N 132.0 E 980 45 50
99 NOV 15 1200 25.7 N 134.1 E 980 40 50 JMA: 25.5 N, 133.3 E
99 NOV 15 1800 27.6 N 137.6 E 980 65 50 See Note
99 NOV 16 0000 29.9 N 141.4 E 980 65 50 JMA: 30.0 N, 142.1 E
99 NOV 16 0600 32.3 N 146.1 E 980 55 50 JMA: 32.5 N, 147.1 E
99 NOV 16 1200 35.3 N 152.9 E 990 45 JMA Wrng/Extratropical
Note: The sudden increase in JTWC's MSW estimate from 40 kts to 65 kts
suggests that quite likely the 40-kt value at 15/1200 UTC was too low.
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ADDITIONAL TRACKS for
NORTHWEST PACIFIC BASIN
TROPICAL CYCLONES
The following tracks are for three interesting systems which occurred
in the Northwest Pacific basin during November and for which tropical
cyclone warnings were not issued. With the exception of the first,
the tracks were supplied by Dr. Mark Lander, a professor at the Water
and Environmental Institute of the Pacific at the University of Guam.
>From 1988 to 1998, Dr. Lander (who earned his Doctorate from the
University of Hawaii in 1986) was funded by the Office of Naval
Research to conduct research on tropical cyclones. During much of
this time Mark worked at JTWC alongside the forecasters and satellite
analysts, helping them to decide what basic research could best help
them solve some of the problems encountered in their day-to-day work.
In keeping with the policy I established a few months ago, I have
chosen to unofficially refer to these systems with letters of the Greek
alphabet. These Greek letter designations are just for the purpose
of having some "handle" by which to refer to interesting systems which
are both unnamed and unnumbered. Any person doing further research
or analysis on them is free to use the names if they choose--they need
not feel compelled to do so.
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Storm Name: "ZETA" Cyclone Number: None Basin: NWP
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
99 NOV 02 0600 10.5 N 109.5 E 1008 15 See Note
99 NOV 03 0600 9.0 N 109.0 E 1007 15
99 NOV 04 0600 9.0 N 110.7 E 1005 15
99 NOV 04 2230 12.0 N 109.5 E See Note
99 NOV 05 0600 11.0 N 111.0 E 1003 20
Note: No regular warnings were issued by JTWC on this system, which was
a monsoon depression. All the positions except 04/2230 UTC were taken
from daily Significant Tropical Weather Outlooks (STWO). That position
was taken from an e-mail received from Mark Lander. Likewise, the MSW
values given above were taken from the STWOs. According to Dr. Lander,
gale-force winds were occurring in the primary cloud band to the north
and east of the LLCC and were probably nearing gale-force near the core
at landfall.
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Storm Name: "ETA" Cyclone Number: None Basin: NWP
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
99 NOV 08 0000 10.0 N 160.0 E 20
99 NOV 08 0600 10.6 N 159.0 E 25
99 NOV 08 1200 11.3 N 158.1 E 25
99 NOV 08 1800 12.1 N 157.5 E 25
99 NOV 09 0000 13.0 N 156.8 E 25
99 NOV 09 0600 13.8 N 156.3 E 25
99 NOV 09 1200 14.6 N 155.7 E 30
99 NOV 09 1800 15.4 N 155.0 E 30
99 NOV 10 0000 16.2 N 154.4 E 30
99 NOV 10 0600 17.5 N 153.8 E 30
99 NOV 10 1200 19.2 N 153.5 E 30
99 NOV 10 1800 21.0 N 153.9 E 30
99 NOV 11 0000 22.5 N 154.5 E 30
99 NOV 11 0600 24.3 N 155.6 E 30 Merges with shear line
99 NOV 11 1200 25.8 N 157.7 E 30
99 NOV 11 1800 26.7 N 159.8 E 30
99 NOV 12 0000 27.5 N 162.0 E 30
99 NOV 12 0600 28.1 N 164.0 E 30
99 NOV 12 1200 28.2 N 165.4 E 35 Subtropical storm
99 NOV 12 1800 28.3 N 166.2 E 35
99 NOV 13 0000 28.4 N 166.5 E 40
99 NOV 13 0600 28.7 N 166.7 E 40
99 NOV 13 1200 28.8 N 167.0 E 40
99 NOV 13 1800 29.0 N 167.2 E 40
99 NOV 14 0000 29.2 N 167.5 E 45
99 NOV 14 0600 29.5 N 168.0 E 45
99 NOV 14 1200 29.9 N 168.9 E 45
99 NOV 14 1800 30.5 N 170.2 E 50
99 NOV 15 0000 31.2 N 172.0 E 55
99 NOV 15 0600 32.0 N 173.8 E 60 Peak intensity
99 NOV 15 1200 33.2 N 176.2 E 55
99 NOV 15 1800 34.6 N 178.2 E 50
99 NOV 16 0000 35.7 N 179.6 W 45
99 NOV 16 0600 35.9 N 177.2 W 45
99 NOV 16 1200 35.6 N 174.2 W 40
Note: This system did not reach tropical storm intensity while still
classifiable as a tropical depression. Intensification on and after
12 Nov was as a hybrid, subtropical-type cyclone.
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Storm Name: "THETA" Cyclone Number: None Basin: NWP
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
99 NOV 26 0000 26.2 N 177.4 W 35 Kona Low forms NW of HI
99 NOV 26 0600 25.8 N 177.8 W 35
99 NOV 26 1200 25.6 N 178.3 W 40
99 NOV 26 1800 25.3 N 178.7 W 40
99 NOV 27 0000 25.0 N 179.0 W 45
99 NOV 27 0600 24.6 N 179.8 W 50 Kona LOW becomes SubTrp
99 NOV 27 1200 24.5 N 179.1 E 50
99 NOV 27 1800 24.8 N 178.2 E 45
99 NOV 28 0000 25.2 N 177.3 E 40
99 NOV 28 0600 25.6 N 176.7 E 40
99 NOV 28 1200 26.0 N 176.0 E 45 ST LOW becoming TC
99 NOV 28 1800 26.2 N 175.2 E 45
99 NOV 29 0000 26.2 N 174.2 E 40 Isolated midget TC
99 NOV 29 0600 26.4 N 173.4 E 40 Classic Dvorak Shear TC
99 NOV 29 1200 26.4 N 172.9 E 40
99 NOV 29 1800 25.9 N 171.3 E 35 Increasing shear
99 NOV 30 0000 25.5 N 169.2 E 30
99 NOV 30 0600 25.7 N 167.3 E 30 Deep convection gone
99 NOV 30 1200 25.0 N 165.8 E 25
99 NOV 30 1800 24.5 N 163.1 E 25
99 DEC 01 0000 24.3 N 161.1 E 25
Note: In contrast to "Eta" above, which was an unusual example of a
system from the deep tropics evolving into a hybrid, subtropical storm,
"Theta" represents just the opposite type of transformation--the more
usual case of a subtropical cyclone acquiring tropical characteristics.
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SOUTHWEST PACIFIC (SWP) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E
NOTE: The tracking and intensity information for Southwest Pacific
Basin tropical cyclones was taken from real-time operational
warnings issued by the Nadi TCWC, Fiji for positions north of
25S and from the Wellington, New Zealand office for positions
south of 25S. Warnings from JTWC (west of 180) and from
NPMOC (east of 180) were utilized for the purpose of making
comparisons and for supplying information for times when the
Nadi or Wellington warnings were unavailable. The 10-min avg
MSW values were taken from the Fiji or New Zealand warnings
while the 1-min avg MSW values were obtained from the JTWC or
NPMOC warnings. (NOTE: JTWC did not issue any warnings on the
depressions listed below.)
*************************************************************************
Storm Name: Tropical Depression Cyclone Number: None Basin: SWP
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
99 NOV 01 1200 23.0 S 173.0 E 1000 35 See Note
99 NOV 01 1800 23.0 S 172.0 E 1000 35
99 NOV 02 0000 24.0 S 173.0 E 1000 35
Note: Gales were experienced only in the southern semicircle. In WMO
Region 5 (Australia and the South Pacific), the basic definition of a
tropical cyclone contains the criterion that gales more or less
surround the center. This system was likely more of a hybrid depression
than purely tropical.
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Storm Name: Depression Cyclone Number: None Basin: SWP
Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks
(GMT) Press 1-min 10-min
(mb) (kts) (kts)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
99 NOV 13 0000 20.0 S 148.4 W 1003 35 See Note
99 NOV 13 0600 21.5 S 147.0 W 1003 35
99 NOV 13 1200 23.5 S 149.0 W 998 35
99 NOV 13 1800 24.0 S 149.0 W 996 40
99 NOV 14 0000 25.0 S 149.0 W 995 35
99 NOV 14 0600 26.0 S 149.0 W 997 40
99 NOV 14 1200 26.0 S 151.0 W 998 35 Weakening
Note: This system was never referred to in warnings from Fiji as a
tropical depression, but only as a depression, and from 13/1800 UTC
on, it was referred to simply as a LOW. As with the previous system,
this disturbance was likely a hybrid or even primarily baroclinic sort
of depression.
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Document: trak9911.htm
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